Though it is only Week 7, the AFC North looks like a Survivor Pool.
While someone will win it, it is more likely they will survive the 18 weeks to win it rather than taking command and putting it away. Baltimore and Cincinnati are 3-3 and Cleveland and Pittsburgh are 2-4.
The Ravens opened at -6 with a total of 44.5 and since the point spread has remained steady with the total jumping to 46.5 on Monday morning.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, October 23, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at M&T Bank Stadium
What to Expect from Cleveland
On offense, Cleveland is depending on its running game of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Browns have one of the top rushing attacks in the NFL thanks to this dynamic duo and an offensive line that drives opposing players off the ball and creates running lanes.
Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has largely exceeded expectations, nonetheless, Cleveland is still in the bottom third of the league in passing yards.
At worst, the Browns' defense was thought to not be a weakness, but that’s not been the case.
They are allowing 27.1 points a contest and the amount of breakdowns is consequential late in games, where they have had five fourth-quarter leads and only won twice.
What to Expect from Baltimore
Coach John Harbaugh’s offense is built around quarterback Lamar Jackson to make plays.
Jackson is not only expected to move the ball throwing and create touchdowns but is far and away Baltimore’s leading rusher, having too many injury-prone running backs.
The days of dominant defense played by the team in purple and black are gone.
Coming into this divisional battle, the Ravens are giving up close to five yards a carry rushing and have one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL. Not a great combination.
Who Covers the Spread?
If you want to back Baltimore against the betting odds, keep the antacids and whiskey nearby.
The Ravens are the 39th team in NFL history to have a double-digit lead in its first six games and the first to not have a winning record.
The last was against the New York Giants, where two Lamar Jackson turnovers sealed their fate after having a 20-10 lead.
Cleveland is on a 0-3 SU and ATS slide; their inability to prevent the other team from scoring is a major problem. Five opponents have tallied 23 or more points and three of them scored at least 30.
Defense vs. Offense
Defensively, each club has serious flaws. Both teams should be able to put together offensive game plans that can take advantage of the apparent weaknesses.
However, the next aspect is execution and making plays, and that is where Baltimore with Jackson has the edge over Cleveland and Brissett, especially at home.
With the Browns on negative runs of 0-4 ATS vs. Baltimore and 3-11 ATS against division foes, the Ravens should squeak this out.
What Is the Right Side for Totals?
Before losing 38-15 to New England last Sunday, the Brownies had averaged 26.6 points a game.
Facing a Baltimore defense that has numerous holes and surrenders almost 24 PPG, Cleveland should be close to their average.
Jackson’s Birds are scoring 26.3 PPG and they are going up against a very beatable Browns defense that is permitting better than 27 PPG.
Look for both offenses to get in sync early and create big plays to lead to points for an Over play.
What Prop Bets Look Safe?
Though he was held out of the end zone last week, Chubb still has 7 touchdowns on the season and appears the right NFL pick for an Any-Time TD.
The Cleveland defense is so undisciplined, L.J. doesn’t seem like a bad choice for an Any Time TD or Over on touchdown passes if it is set at O/U 1.5.
Lastly, if Chubb's rushing total is below 100 yards, this seems like a good wager against a Baltimore defense that will give up yards.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.