NFL Week 4 Best Bets for Early Games: Titans vs. Colts, Browns vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Giants

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Today we’ll preview three 1 PM EDT kickoffs on Sunday around the NFL and I can tell you one theme I see in those matchups: the offenses are likely to struggle, so you may want to ponder the under in each.

Which way to lean at the top-rated sportsbooks?

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Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, October 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Lucas Oil Stadium

This game features a pair of one-win disappointing teams who both got their first wins Sunday. The Titans never trailed but nearly blew it late in a 24-22 home defeat of the Las Vegas Raiders. Tight end Austin Hooper recovered an onside kick and the Titans held on.

Ryan Tannehill, who hasn’t been great so far, threw for 264 yards with a TD and a pick and Derrick Henry had a season-high 85 yards on the ground with a TD. Henry also caught five passes for 58 yards. Inactive were pass-rusher Bud Dupree and offensive tackle Taylor Lewan. Dupree might play this week, but Lewan is done for the year with a knee injury.

Frankly, Tennessee’s best player so far has been rookie punter Ryan Stonehouse. He totaled 60.3 yards per attempt in the win, bringing his league-best average up to 57.1. Stonehouse has now averaged 55 yards per punt or better in three straight games, making him the first punter in NFL history to do so.

The Colts were 20-17 home winners over the Chiefs. Matt Ryan had just one TD pass and four picks in the first two games but two TDs and zero picks vs. Kansas City, although he was sacked five more times and has taken a beating so far. The offensive line, according to center Ryan Kelly, is still adjusting to its two new starters. It sounds as if Pro Bowl middle linebacker Shaquille Leonard will make his season debut off injury in Week 4.

Titans vs. Colts: Our Betting Pick

Indianapolis has lost three straight in this series, but I believe that ends this Sunday.

We will use the moneyline to take a possible push on 3 points out of play.

NFL Pick: Colts ML (-175) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons

Sunday, October 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Cleveland nearly had disaster strike Monday as stellar pass-rushing end Myles Garrett, who was the betting favorite to open this season at the top-rated books to win NFL Defensive Player of the Year, was in a car accident after leaving the team’s facility. His vehicle went off the side of the road and flipped over before coming to a rest. Highway patrol said impairment by drugs or alcohol was not suspected and that Garrett and his female passenger were both wearing seat belts.

The crash is under investigation. Garrett has been released from the hospital, but we don’t know if he can play Sunday. The total has ticked up a few points, so oddsmakers may not think so. Garrett has three sacks in three games.

The Browns are on extra rest after beating visiting Pittsburgh 29-17 on Thursday in Week 3 but lost starting linebacker Anthony Walker to a season-ending torn quad tendon. Walker, 27, had six tackles against Pittsburgh before his injury. He had a team-leading 113 tackles and one sack in 13 games last season, his first with Cleveland.

Jacoby Brissett was an efficient 21-for-31 for 220 yards and two scores and Nick Chubb rushed for 113 yards and a TD. He leads the NFL in rushing with 341 yards. The Falcons are middle of the pack in rush defense, allowing 109.3 ypg.

Browns vs. Falcons: Our Betting Pick

Atlanta was a 27-23 winner in Seattle on Sunday as converted receiver Cordarrelle Patterson rushed for 141 yards and a score.

He’s third in the league in rushing at 302 ypg, but Cleveland has a very good run defense at 83.7 ypg. It would be nice to know if Garrett is playing but Atlanta isn’t very good, and the Browns are on extra rest.

NFL Pick: Browns -1 (-114) at BetOnline

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Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants

Sunday, October 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium

I'm not being hyperbolic when I say this could be one of the ugliest offensive games of the season as both clubs clearly don’t have their long-term answer at quarterback in Justin Fields of Chicago and Daniel Jones of New York. Fields has thrown for only 297 yards in three games! Chicago is averaging 78.3 yards through the air, the next-worst team is Carolina way up at 161.3. To be fair, Fields doesn’t have much talent around him.

That said, the Bears are by some miracle 2-1 as their defense has played well. On Sunday, linebacker Roquan Smith picked off Texans quarterback Davis Mills with about a minute left and it led to the winning 30-yard field goal. Khalil Herbert ran for a career-high 157 yards and two touchdowns and Chicago rushed for 281 yards even though top running back David Montgomery exited in the early going with knee and ankle injuries. Still not clear if Montgomery can play this week. Fields had two picks and two fumbles vs. Houston and tallied a 27.7 passer rating, the lowest of his NFL career. His 23 completions on the season are the fewest by any QB to start the first three games of any season since 2000.

It's a shot week for the Giants after losing 23-16 at home to Dallas on Monday night – Big Blue had won its first two games in the final minute. Jones was 20-for-37 for 196 yards and a pick vs. the Cowboys. He’s just not good. Jones was pressured on 24 of his 42 dropbacks Monday. The 24 pressures are the most in his four-year career and the most on a quarterback this season.

Running back Saquon Barkley has carried the offense thus far and had 81 yards and a TD rushing and four catches for 45 yards. The Giants are really banged up at receiver and lost Sterling Shepard (five catches, 49 yards) to a season-ending torn ACL Monday.

Bears vs. Giants: Our Betting Pick

First one to 17 almost surely wins this game (if either team does get there), and while I slightly lean New York on the moneyline will take the total.

NFL Pick: Under 39 Points (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.