Happy New Year party people! It’s 2022 and what better way to start off the new calendar than with a 15 game slate for the first Sunday of the year?
Last week we went 2-1 after my beloved Packers failed to cover, despite dominating the Brownies for almost the entire game but hey, such is life. Now, we’re at 7-2 ATS for the season so let’s move on to some NFL odds as we have a great Week 17 ahead of us.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Football Team
Sunday, January 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at FedEx Field
The last time these two teams met, the final score ended up being closer than many expected, especially considering that Garrett Gilbert was in at QB for Washington.
But this is an interesting matchup considering how good the Eagles running game has been and how much the defense has improved. Like my colleague, Donnie RightSide pointed out in this week's episode of the NFL opening lines, since Week 8 the Eagles have allowed the least amount of points.
This Washington squad looked awful on both sides of the ball while being dismantled in the first half against the Cowboys in their Week 16 matchup.
Like my other colleague Rainman pointed out, in his betting preview for this matchup, Jalen Hurst achieved his second-best pass percentage of the season against Washington. That's how bad their pass coverage is!
Meanwhile, Antonio Gibson has been dealing with a nagging toe injury and Terry McLaurin still needs someone to throw him the ball. And before you say that Taylor Heinicke has a gunslinger demeanor, just remember that he's failed to reach the 200 passing yards mark, this season, more times than you would imagine.
He's been so bad that head coach Ron Rivera said Kyle Allen would get some looks. The Eagles are playing for a playoff spot and should win by a touchdown unless they turn the ball over, so lay the points.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, January 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Lucas Oil Stadium
This game is the perfect example of why you should wait until game day to place your bets amid this COVID pandemic. Carson Wentz is a game-time decision as he is in protocols until game day. If he's asymptomatic, he'll go. If not, rookie Sam Ehlinger will take his place.
This, despite being activated by the Colts, early Saturday (as a precautionary move), as Nate Atkins of the IndyStar reported. The only reason I feel confident about this pick is that, regardless of who's under center for the Colts, 7 points is way too much.
They're a very well-coached team, so much so I believe Frank Reich should be in the top 3 for Coach of the Year. They have a great rushing attack and a defense that's been playing lights out. We've actually backed Indy last two weeks in this column and cashed with that NFL pick twice. Hell, even LG Quenton Nelson is back from the COVID protocols.
Nonetheless, even if Wentz is back and has Nelson available, LT Eric Fisher is still day-to-day after suffering an injury in Arizona. Reich has said that Matt Pryor will start instead of Julie'n Davenport (which is already an improvement). Still, remember when the Colts weren't that good at the start of the season? Yup, they were also missing Fisher.
While it's true that the Colts are 10-3 ATS, they're only 4-4 when playing at home and even with a banged-up Fisher the situation looks like a favorable matchup for Maxx Crosby and Yannick Ngawkwe. Do you know what's another interesting matchup? Jonathan Taylor against the Raiders rush defense.
Last week, Vegas managed to stop the Broncos ground attack and held the Melvin Gordon-Javonte Williams tandem to under 3.0 yards per carry. In their last two games, this unit has only allowed 107 rushing yards.
On offense, the Raiders are getting Darren Waller back, and, that's all that we need to know about the betting value regarding that side of the ball for the Raiders. Take the points here.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, January 2, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at M&T Bank Stadium
To be fair, we lost a little bit of value on this line as it went from -3.5 to -6 in the last 48 hours so if you managed to grab it at -4.5 to -5, kudos! Still, I can't see the Rams losing this game...as bad as Matthew Stafford has looked recently.
Like my colleague, Swinging Johson pointed out in one of his columns, his chronic back issue has been flaring up. That resulted in L.A. almost blowing a lead against the Vikings, yes. But I don't agree with him regarding his prediction of three picks agaisnt Baltimore, for the product of the Georgia Bulldogs. Plus, he already did that last week.
The Ravens' secondary is so banged up, they're literally playing with replacement players...yes almost like in the movie! Now, this unit will have to handle Odell Beckham Jr. and Cooper Kupp.
Tyler Huntley will start for Lamar Jackson and they sure can move the ball with him, as they proved a couple of weeks ago against Green Bay. Thing is, this isn't the same defense. Now you have Aaron Donald, Von Miller and Jalen Ramsey coming to town.
The Ravens are in free-fall mode. Yes, this is a must-win game for them but only because they went from being the #1 seed in the AFC entering Week 13, to being the #8 seed entering Week 17.
Meanwhile, the Rams are riding a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS. Look for Sean McVay and his squad to make a statement in this one as they head into the playoffs.
NFL Pick: Rams -5.5 (-110) at Bovada
- Jobu's Record: 2-1
The Guru was pleased to be back on the winning path after backing the Rams last week against the Vikings. Still, he said he was craving more firepower in his life and revealed that the answer for that lays in the Chiefs vs. Bengals game.
This is the best front seven that Joey Burrow has faced all season but Jobu expects the football gods to allow him to scramble free and make plays as usual. As for Patrick Mahomes, you know what to expect, so Jobu says, the Over 50.5.
Jobu's NFL Pick: Over 50.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.