NFL Week 17 Best Bets: Giants vs. Bears Picks for January 2

profile image of scottkacsmar
063_1361162866-aspect-ratio-16-9
Nick Foles #9 of the Chicago Bears. Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP

The New York Giants (4-11) and Chicago Bears (5-10) went to the backup quarterback with many different results on Sunday. The Giants gave Jake Fromm his first NFL start and had to replace him with Mike Glennon in a 34-10 loss to the Eagles.

The Bears pulled out a 25-24 comeback win in Seattle with Nick Foles. Keep reading to check the NFL odds and start cashing out!

New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears

Sunday, January 2, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Soldier Field

The Bears (5-10 ATS) are a 6-point favorite over the Giants (6-9 ATS) at many of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. No matter which quarterbacks start this game, the expectations should be for Chicago to have the better one and for the game to be low-scoring. But is that enough to trust the Giants to cover?

Giants: Broken in Every Way

With the Giants putting an end to quarterback Daniel Jones’ season for a neck injury, they made the brave choice to give Georgia’s Jake Fromm his first NFL start in Philadelphia. He ended up completing 6-of-17 passes for 25 yards and throwing an interception before he was benched. Fromm is the first NFL quarterback since Buffalo’s Nathan Peterman in 2018 to start a game, throw at least 15 passes, and fail to gain more than 25 yards.

His replacement, Mike Glennon, was up to the task of his own bad history. Glennon finished 17-of-27 for 93 yards, making him only the fifth quarterback since 1950 to complete at least 17 passes and gain fewer than 100 yards in a game.

The offense failed to gain more than 11 yards on any play (penalty yardage excluded). This came despite both quarterbacks throwing to most of their desired targets in Kenny Golladay, Saquon Barkley, Kadarius Toney, Darius Slayton, and Evan Engram. None of them broke 30 receiving yards in the game. Barkley only gained 32 rushing yards on 15 carries.

It was another pathetic performance for the offense, which has failed to hit 14 points in five of the last six games, most of which have come since offensive coordinator Jason Garrett was fired. While Glennon still gives the offense the best chance to do something over Fromm, it still may not be enough to score on a mediocre Chicago defense.

While the Bears have been lit up by great offenses this year, they have held six opponents to 17 points or fewer, including the Bengals and Vikings. A 17-10 cover is well within reach for these Bears.

Bears: Big Nick Energy or Back to Justin Fields?

Say what you want about Nick Foles, but he has one of the most interesting career arcs in NFL history. He got his first start of the season for Chicago in snowy Seattle and was able to pull out a late comeback win, 25-24, for the first Chicago win this year when the Bears allowed more than 17 points. Foles is now 15-15 in his career at game-winning drive opportunities, the third-best record among active starters behind only Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes.

But the injury-prone Foles is clearly not the long-term answer for Chicago at quarterback. So, do they go back to rookie Justin Fields to finish out his difficult rookie season, or is head coach Matt Nagy trying to get every win possible to save his job in Chicago? It would seem either way that he will be gone after this season, and a few late-season wins over the worst Seattle team of the Russell Wilson era, and the Giants should not change that.

Foles was able to throw for 250 yards without a turnover in the snow against Seattle. Running back David Montgomery had little running room, but he scored a touchdown and had 61 yards on seven catches. The Bears were also 7-of-14 on third down, a strong game for the No. 31 offense on third down coming into Week 16.

The Bears and Giants are two of the four offenses that score a touchdown less than 50% of the time in the red zone this season. But no one is worse than the Giants (44.4%) in that area.

Prediction

I liked Nagy’s aggressive decision to go for two points and the win in Seattle. Foles should give the Bears their best shot to win this one, but even if Fields does get the call, he’s a better quarterback than Glennon or Fromm. I’ll trust the Bears to cover at home and win this game by a touchdown for your NFL picks this Sunday.

NFL Pick: Bears -6 (-110) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Bovada logo
Bears -6 (-110)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.