NFL Week 12 Picks: Bears vs. Lions Best Thanksgiving Bets

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Bears QB Justin Fields #1 passes. Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images/AFP

Thanksgiving kicks off with the traditional early Lions game as they take on their divisional rivals the Chicago Bears at Ford Field. It looks like it may be the battle of the backups, but the best online bookmakers have got their lines up and have the Bears around a field goal favorite against their winless hosts.

It probably won’t be the most explosive of games to kick off your celebrations, with a low total expected but we can hope it’s interesting at least for your NFL picks.

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

Thursday, November 25, 2021 – 12:30 PM EST at Ford Field

Who Starts at QB for the Bears?

It’s been a rough season for the Bears as they threw their rookie QB into the action and Justin Fields just wasn’t ready for the NFL. He has improved in recent weeks but they’re on a winless run and after an innocuous-looking tackle on Sunday he left the game with “bruised ribs” for Andy Dalton to finish out the match.

Early in the week, there’s no news on how severe that injury for Fields was, but with a short week, I am going to assume that he misses out. Andy Dalton actually sparked the scoreless Bears into life and would have guided them to a win with a late deep-shot to Marquise Goodwin had their defense not given up big plays at the end of the game.

Dalton isn’t ever going to take your team to the Superbowl, but he showed that at this moment in time he’s the better QB on this roster.

Whoever starts will likely have Darnell Mooney as their main target, he blew up with 121 yards and a TD, and with Allen Robinson possibly missing a second game in 5 days they will have to target Mooney frequently once more. Goodwin seems to be liked by Dalton while the tight ends Kmet and Graham should get more work as well.

It seems likely that they’ll up the running game with David Montgomery having more carries in a game they just want to get out with a win and move on to the next week.

Will Goff Be Back for the Lions?

It looks like another year with a backup QB taking the field for the Lions on Thanksgiving. I don’t believe Goff will be back with his oblique injury and frankly, they’re going nowhere and are heavy favorites for the #1 overall pick, so there’s no need to have him playing through pain, so it will be Tim Boyle at QB.

He played on Sunday and remarkably with 15 completions for 77 yards and 2 interceptions, they were close to winning at the Browns.

That was thanks in the most part to D’Andre Swift who broke a run for 57 yards to score in the third quarter to get them close to an unexpected victory.

He has been the one bright spot for the Lions this year both rushing and catching out of the backfield it was another 100+ yards on the ground, while somehow he had 0 yards from 3 receptions.

Unsurprisingly it doesn’t matter who starts at QB, TJ Hockenson will be the most targeted player in the passing game at TE. He has been reliable all year and they really don’t have anyone else.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is a rookie having an average season in a horrible spot, Kaliff Raymond was something with Goff but not much now, and new signing Josh Reynolds has been thrown in at the deep end.

So… Lots of Points Then?

I expect this to be a dismal start to your Thanksgiving celebrations, maybe spend some time talking to relatives, help with the cooking, do some cleaning? Most menial tasks will likely be more entertaining than sitting down to watch this game.

But let’s be fair, having money at the NFL odds makes the games more interesting, and while a Dalton-led Bears might top 20 points, I can’t see the Lions getting that high.

NFL Pick: Bears vs. Lions Under 42 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Bears vs. Lions Under 42 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.