Last Chance Value Picks for NFL Week 17

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Darren Waller #83 of the Las Vegas Raiders dives into the end zone for a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

With two weeks left in the NFL regular season, there’s a lot of handle taking place. In these situations, especially with COVID still around, it’s crucial to either bet extremely early or that you wait until the day of the games to bet.

Here are some games where you can find value on Sunday, according to the latest NFL odds.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts 

Sunday, January 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Lucas Oil Stadium

The Colts are currently -7 favorites against the Raiders for Sunday’s game. Even if Carson Wentz ends up playing in this game, it just seems like too many points.

The Raiders have won their last two games and have put themselves in a position to at least fight for a playoff spot. The Raiders would need to win out and things would need to fall in place, but the Raiders still have a chance and they know it.

While the defense hasn’t played the most elite quarterbacks during the two-game winning streak the defense has produced stops. The Raiders’ offense only scored 17 and 16 in their last two games but it was enough to win both games. Now with Darren Waller expected to be back for the Raiders, there’s tons of value on the Raiders.

Let’s say Carson Wentz doesn’t play. Then it’ll be Sam Ehlinger under center getting his first career start. Having a +7 number with the Raiders against a rookie quarterback would be very ideal. Ehlinger was a stud in college, just like Ian Book and so many other rookie quarterbacks that have struggled this season as a starter due to COVID.

There’s value on the Raiders regardless of who starts in this game. This is a playoff game and will be treated like one. No chance the Colts are a seven-point favorite.

NFL Value Pick: Raiders +7 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Raiders +7 (-110)
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals 

Sunday, January 02, 2022 – 01:00 PM EST at Paul Brown Stadium

The Cincinnati Bengals have been extremely inconsistent while the Kansas City Chiefs have been extremely consistent. The Chiefs were consistently bad in the first half of the season and consistently good in the second half.

Meanwhile, week-to-week, you just never know which Bengals team you’re going to be getting. But what you do know is that the Bengals are capable of winning any game in the NFL, no matter who they play. That’s a given.

The Bengals have an offense that could be as elite as the Chiefs in the next couple of years. That’s what makes this a fun game. I’d expect this game to be a back and forth battle. Cincinnati has actually done well defensively, regardless of allowing a ton of yards. The Bengals are giving up 362 yards per game but just 21.6 points per game.

That’s really not bad for a defense that hasn’t been very elite outside of the pass rush. So why not take a shot on the Bengals at around +200 moneyline against the Chiefs.

There’s so much value there, especially if the Bengals play alive. And I think they do. I think they’ll be ready to go, at home, in a playoff atmosphere, coming off a monumental win.

NFL Value Pick: Bengals ML (+200) at BetOnline

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Bengals ML (+200)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.