Last Chance Value Picks for NFL Week 10

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A.J. Brown #11 of the Tennessee Titans. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

With so many injuries happening mid-way into the season, there’s been a lot of line movement and crazy discrepancies in the sports betting market recently when it comes to the NFL. Odell Beckham Jr. and Von Miller were just traded off to Los Angeles.

Meanwhile. Big injuries for Derrick Henry of the Titans and Jameis Winston of the Saints have made huge impacts on the lines moving forward. Let’s get right to business. Let’s see the NFL odds.

New Orleans Saints vs. Tennessee Titans

Sunday, November 14, 2021 – 01:00 PM EST at Nissan Stadium

The Tennessee Titans are going to be alright without Derrick Henry. It’s going to string and it’ll hurt a little bit, but the Titans are built to win regardless. The defense has stepped up, allowing less than 30 points in each of their last five games and the offense is still stellar with plenty of talent at wide receiver including Julio Jones and AJ Brown.

Ryan Tannehill has played excellent for the Titans and he’s finally backed by a very good defense. The Titans average over 375 yards per game and allow 384.7 yards per game. But again, the defense is starting to improve week-by-week and held the Rams to just 16 points last week.

The win by the Titans forced the Rams to go after Beckham Jr. They realized the offense wasn’t as good as it could be. Kudos to the Titans there. On the other hand, the Saints lost out on Jameis Winston, who is out for the year with a knee injury. Therefore, they’re starting Trevor SSiemian, who went 25-for-41 against the Falcons and didn’t pull out a victory despite getting two touchdowns.

Ryan Tannehill #17 of the Tennessee Titans. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

He’s going to throw short passes and hope to get big gains. He’s not going to beat you over the top or do anything special. He’s never made it in the NFL as a starter for a reason. That’s why I like the Titans -3 at home against the Saints. The defense is lacking with their pass rush and hasn’t been great at making open-field tackles recently. Take this into consideration next time you check our NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Titans -3 (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Titans -3 (-110)
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Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots

Sunday, November 14, 2021 - 01:00 PM EST at Gillette Stadium

The Cleveland Browns are underdogs when they’re simply the better team. The Browns are 5-4 on the season but have played much better than that. It’s been drama and injuries holding them back. After last week, it’s all behind them. The Browns defeated the Bengals, 41-16, and looked solid.

The defensive line is always great and will be anchored by Myles Garrett. The secondary has recently stepped up as well and has made some plays. Meanwhile, the offense will be terrific in the run game with Nick Chubb back. The run block for the Browns when it comes to the offensive line has been very good.

The Patriots, on the other hand, have struggled to stop the run, giving up 108.9 yards per game. On offense, the Patriots really need the run game to be successful, but the Browns have allowed just 84.8 yards per game on the ground. Without the run game, Mac Jones will have to throw the football against a fierce pass rush and a terrific secondary. I like the Browns to come away with a win, on the road.

NFL Pick: Browns +115 with BetOnline

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Browns +115
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.