The New York Giants have looked largely inept this season and it’s not likely they pick up their first win Sunday in New Orleans. Can Big Blue cover? Which way to lean at BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks?
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints
Sunday, October 03, 2021 – 01:00 PM EDT at Caesars Superdome
It looks to be one of the mismatches of Week 4 around the NFL on Sunday when the winless Giants visit the 2-1 Saints. It’s the home opener for New Orleans. The team was to host Green Bay in Week 1 but that was moved to Jacksonville, Fla., due to damage in the Big Easy from Hurricane Ida. The Saints were on the road the past two weeks.
New York leads the all-time series 16-14 – the teams have never met in the playoffs, which somewhat surprised me.
The last meeting was in 2018 when New Orleans won 33-18 in New Jersey. That Saints team was excellent and should have played in the Super Bowl but was robbed in the NFC title game against the Rams by the referees. Alvin Kamara rushed for 134 yards and three scores. Both QBs from that game, Drew Brees and Eli Manning, are now retired and working as TV analysts.
The Saints are 5-1-1 against the spread on NFL picks in the past seven meetings.
Poor New York Football Fans
It’s going to be another really long football season for those living in New York as the Jets and Giants are both 0-3. The Giants’ season win total is down to 4.5, with the under a -115 favorite. Not sure I can see more than four victories.
Just about everyone is under fire, from owner John Mara, who was booed at halftime of last Sunday’s home loss to the Falcons, to general manager Dave Gettleman to second-year coach Joe Judge – he’s a +400 second-favorite on the BetOnline NFL odds to be the first coach fired this year. I don’t think there’s any chance Gettleman or Judge are back in 2022, but Mara isn’t about to sell the team.
Big Blue could be 2-1 but has blown a late lead in the fourth quarter in each of the past two games and lost on a field goal as time expired. Younghoe Koo kicked a 40-yarder for Atlanta in Week 3 to win it. Saquon Barkley did have his first rushing TD of the year. Evan Engram made his season debut but was booed by fans, too, with two lost fumbles.
To make matters worse, the left guard position is becoming a joke. Ben Bredeson suffered a hand injury vs. the Falcons that could force him to miss some time. Thus, it’s possible the Giants start their fourth left guard in four games because of injuries. Shane Lemieux (knee) and Nick Gates (leg) are already on injured reserve.
Wideout Sterling Shepard might miss Week 4 with a hamstring injury, which should mean more time for first-round rookie Kadarius Toney. Defensively, the Giants have lost top linebacker Blake Martinez to a season-ending torn ACL. He had at least 140 tackles in four straight seasons.
The Giants are 2-5 against the spread on the NFL picks in their past seven games.
Saints Still Missing Key Guys
New Orleans is hard to figure out as it destroyed a good Packers team in Week 1, was dominated in a loss to Carolina in Week 2, and then dominated the Patriots in New England in Week 3, 28-13.
Jameis Winston threw two TD passes vs. the Pats and, more important, didn’t turn it over. Running back Alvin Kamara totaled 118 yards on 27 total touches – he accounted for 47 percent of the New Orleans' yards on offense and he touched the ball on 44 percent of the plays.
The return of Pro Bowl cornerback Marshon Lattimore after missing one game made a huge difference as the Saints picked off Patriots rookie QB Mac Jones three times. Fellow defensive back CJ Gardner-Johnson also returned after missing a game and finished with five tackles, two tackles for loss, a pass defensed, a quarterback hit, and his sack.
Star wide receiver Michael Thomas is out for at least two more games with an ankle injury. Defensive end Marcus Davenport, defensive tackle David Onyemata, linebacker Kwon Alexander and kicker Wil Lutz also remain out.
New Orleans is also banged up on the offensive line with center Erik McCoy missing the New England game injured and Pro Bowl left tackle, Terron Armstead, leaving with an elbow injury. Armstead, who has never played in a full 16-game season, will not play vs. the Giants with journeyman James Hurst expected to start.
The Saints are 8-3 ATS on the NFL odds in their past 11 after a win. This spread is getting close to being too high but we’ll take it at 7.5.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.