Eagles vs. Texans NFL Week 9 TNF Best Bets: Philadelphia Looks to Remain Perfect

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From left, A.J. Brown #11, Zach Pascal #3 and DeVonta Smith #6 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Mitchell Leff/Getty Images/AFP.

Philadelphia is the only team left with an unblemished record and will look to move to 8-0 after their Thursday night showdown in the Lone Star State when they battle the Texans. Let’s peruse the NFL odds as we analyze this matchup and look to keep cashing our NFL picks!

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans

Thursday, November 3, 2022 – 08:15 PM EDT at NRG Stadium

There was plenty of hype concerning the Eagles entering this season and they certainly have not disappointed. After trouncing the Steelers last week, 35-13, the Eagles have soared to the top of the NFC East, previously thought to be the exclusive domain of the Cowboys. What was once the laughingstock of the league has now become one of the most competitive and talented divisions.

A narrow 38-35 season-opening win over the Lions was the way the season began for Philadelphia. But it wasn’t such a shining moment for those who backed the Eagles as 6-point road chalk, especially since it should have been an easy cover until the Eagles grew disinterested in the 4th quarter and allowed 2 unanswered touchdowns.

But since then, the Eagles have not only continued to win but have gone 5-1 ATS since then with the only exception being a 20-17 win in the desert over the Cardinals as 5.5-point favorites. Last week was no exception, as Jalen Hurts continued to work his magic with 285 yards and 4 passing touchdowns with A.J. Brown as the object of his aerial affection catching 3 of those TD strikes and piling up 156 receiving yards.

Texans Tanking?

Houston owns a woeful 1-5-1 straight-up record, ahead of only the 1-6 Detroit Lions. And it wouldn’t be much of a stretch to consider the possibility that the Texans may be thinking of tanking to get the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.

But tanking and stinking are two different things and the Texans have been so bad up to this point that they don’t have to tank, they’re just naturally awful. Yet, they are not so bad that they have been failing miserably at the betting windows as evidenced by their 3-3-1 ATS mark.

The point spread is the ultimate equalizer, but it wasn’t nearly enough to keep them in the hunt last week as they were only a one-point home dog to the Tennessee Titans, a game in which they fell, 17-10. The silver lining in the loss was limiting the highly-touted rookie quarterback, Malik Willis, to a paltry 55 yards and even picking him off once.

But the flip side will show Derrick Henry trampling the Texans' run-stop unit for 2 touchdowns and a whopping 219 yards. Texas had no answer to the riddle that was the hard-charging Henry and it ultimately cost them the game and their backers the cover.


Pick and Prediction

Before I looked at the line on this game, I asked myself how many points would I need to bet on the Texans. It looks like such a mismatch and you just know the public will be slamming money on the Eagles. It is a game between arguably the best team in the league, with apologies to the Bills, against the worst team in the league, again with apologies to the Lions.

The only thing the Texans have going for them is the venue, but even that hasn’t been kind to them as they are 0-2-1 straight-up and 1-2 against the number at NRG Stadium. However, the Eagles are 3-0 on the road but 1-2 ATS which gives us a plausible reason to rethink our line on this game.

Well, I would need 17.5 points to bet the Texans at home against this year’s edition of the Eagles, but the best sportsbooks have installed the visitors as 13-point favorites. However, there’s one big consideration we haven’t discussed. This is a Thursday night game and teams working on short weeks tend to be lethargic as we have witnessed time and time again.

What Can We Expect?

I believe this will be a low-scoring game as the Philly defense is ranked 4th in pass defense, total yards allowed, and points allowed (16.9) but 15th against the run. Meanwhile, the Texans are ranked 25th in passing yards, 26th in rushing yards, 29th in points scored (16.6 PPG), and 31st in total yards. I ask you, how are the Texans supposed to score? A pick-six, maybe?

Meanwhile, the Eagles own one of the most prolific offenses in the league, ranked 10th in passing yards, 6th in rushing yards, 3rd in total yards, and 3rd in points scored (28 PPG). Houston will have no answers for Philadelphia’s rushing attack as they are ranked dead last in containing the run, permitting 186 yards per game, and are ranked 30th in total yards allowed.

I realize when you get down on a double-digit favorite it’s usually not the smartest idea to go Under the posted total, but I’m calling it as I see it.

Philly will eventually lose interest and run the ball while chewing up the clock in the final quarter and getting the cover while the score goes low.

Score Prediction: Eagles 27 - Texans 10

NFL Pick: Eagles -13 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Eagles -13 (-108)
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NFL Pick: Under 43 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Under 43 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.