Can Aaron Rodgers Win Another Super Bowl With the Green Bay Packers?

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As the confetti rained down over Lambeau Field, a dejected Aaron Rodgers walked off the hallowed grounds at Green Bay and warily made the long walk back to the locker room. He was beaten once again in the NFC Championship game. Frustratingly so, this time, by the ageless wonder Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-26.

It wasn’t supposed to happen that way. The Packers were the top seed in the NFC and the betting favorites according to most top-rated sportsbooks. But, happen it did, leaving all and sundry questioning what went wrong.

It was Rodgers’ fourth career loss in the NFC Championship game and second in back-to-back seasons, which saw him slip to a 1-4 SU mark overall. The lone victory to his credit came almost a decade ago. When he led the Packers to the 21-14 win over the Bears in his maiden NFC Championship game, a triumph that he then backed up with his first-ever, and to date only, Super Bowl title.

The entire league watched the Tampa Bay Buccaneers bemusedly last season after they snapped up Tom Brady. They proceeded to build around the 40-something-year-old quarterback in earnest. What Tom wanted, he got. From coaxing Rob Gronkowski out of retirement and giving Antonio Brown a second chance in the NFL to the draft and trades, they assembled a star-studded cast that unambiguously implied the Buccaneers were all in for 2020. It was Super Bowl or bust. And didn’t they reap the rewards in the end?

Aaron Rodgers isn’t alone in wishing he’d had even a soupcon of the kind of commitment and support Brady was the beneficiary of in Tampa Bay. Many a quarterback looked on in envy. Some even aired their frustration publicly – Russel Wilson, who attended Super Bowl LV between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, voiced his frustration over the Seahawks not giving him enough protection. Having had front row seats for Brady’s seventh Super Bowl triumph, he could see just how different things can be when a team does right by its quarterback.

Green Bay could have committed to last year’s campaign by capitalising on the 2020 NFL draft. One of the main takeaways of Green Bay’s defeat the year prior in the NFC Championship game (l. to San Francisco) was the need for more offensive firepower. As elite a signal caller Rodgers is, he simply couldn’t win games alone. Top wide receiving talent or game-changing offensive players and real disrupters of a game were sorely needed. And there were quite a few in the draft class that Rodgers had even had his eye on.

For whatever reason, which until today is yet to be explained properly, the Packers drafted quarterback Jordan Love instead in the first round. Moving up in the draft even to do so, sending out the message that they were prepared to mortgage their present for a distant, murky and uncertain future with a rookie quarterback. And if that wasn’t shocking enough, they then proceeded to make a hack job of the rest of the draft, failing at each and every turn to shore up the offense meaningfully.

After the Packers lost at home to the Buccaneers in the NFC Championship game, it was hard not to look back at all of the offseason moves Green Bay made and find them wanting. The many missed opportunities to build a bona fide Super Bowl winning team which they had to be ruing.

If there’s a positive to take, it’s the fact that the Packers aren’t far off really. Reaching back-to-back NFC Championship games is no mean feat. However, getting over the last hurdle will rest heavily on what the Packers do in the 2021 NFL draft. Will they finally get Rodgers the weapons he needs to really compete against the best teams? Or will they go a totally different route… one that few expect.

Green Bay Packers NFL Futures Odds

As it is, the Packers are the team to beat in the NFC North. As per Bovada Sportsbook, they’re the runaway faves to win a third straight divisional title at -230 which is understandable given all the changes within the division. Chicago and Detroit are in different stages of rebuilding and Minnesota is on the cusp of potentially overhauling the team as well depending on what happens in 2021.

To Win NFC North Courtesy of Bovada (April, 28, 2021)

  • Green Bay Packers -230
  • Minnesota Vikings +350
  • Chicago Bears +575
  • Detroit Lions +3000

The Packers are also the second-best bet at +500 after Tampa Bay at +350 to win the NFC Conference. Whereas, in Super Bowl futures, the Packers are the third-best bet after the Chiefs and Buccaneers (see below for a complete SBLVI odds rundown).

Of course, all these markets for Green Bay are underpinned by Aaron Rodgers. These odds would be a moot point should Rodgers for whatever reason not be the starter in Green Bay. There’s no doubt that Rodgers has the ability to win another Super Bowl. His talent, quality and skill is beyond reproach. After all, he’s the reigning MVP, and after a standout 2020 many believe he’ll continue on that rich vein of form this season. Rodgers is priced as the second best bet in MVP betting markets after presumptive fave Patrick Mahomes (+500) – BetOnline has Rodgers at +1000 to clinch a second straight MVP award. The question is whether he’ll win another Super Bowl with Green Bay. That’s up in the air, really. Rodgers himself reflected on what he called an “uncertain future” with the Packers.

To date, there’s still no real indication that Rodgers won’t be in Green Bay in 2021, but stranger things have happened in the NFL before and there’s still quite a bit of time before week 1 of the 2021 season gets underway…watch this space.

Super Bowl LVI Odds Courtesy of Bovada (April, 28, 2021)

  • Kansas City Chiefs +450
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +600
  • Green Bay Packers +1200
  • Los Angeles Rams +1300
  • Buffalo Bills +1400
  • San Francisco 49ers +1400
  • Cleveland Browns +1700
  • Baltimore Ravens +2000
  • Indianapolis Colts +2500
  • New England Patriots +2800
  • New Orleans Saints +2800
  • Seattle Seahawks +2800
  • Dallas Cowboys +3000
  • Arizona Cardinals +3300
  • Miami Dolphins +3300
  • Los Angeles Chargers +3500
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +3500
  • Tennessee Titans +3500
  • Minnesota Vikings +5000
  • Washington Football Team +5000
  • Carolina Panthers +6600
  • Chicago Bears +6600
  • Denver Broncos +6600
  • Las Vegas Raiders +6600
  • New York Giants +7000
  • Atlanta Falcons +7500
  • Philadelphia Eagles +8500
  • New York Jets +10000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +12500
  • Cincinnati Bengals +15000
  • Detroit Lions +15000
  • Houston Texans +20000