Bills vs. Jets NFL Week 9 Picks and Prediction: Old AFC East Rivalry Is Reborn

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Denzel Mims #11 of the New York Jets runs with the ball as Mack Wilson Sr. #30 of the New England Patriots defends. Mike Stobe/Getty Images/AFP.

An old AFC East rivalry is heating up again as the surprising New York Jets have stepped up this season to challenge the Buffalo Bills at the top of the division.

The Bills will look to pad their lead in the East when they travel to the Big Apple area to face the Jets on Sunday. According to top-rated sportsbooks, Buffalo is 6-1 and looking to establish itself as the team to beat in the AFC.

The Jets, meanwhile, are in second place at 5-3 and have already put up as many wins this season as in five of the last six years. They hope to continue an unlikely playoff push and cut into Buffalo’s two-game edge in the AFC East.

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Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

Sunday, November 6, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium

On a Roll

The Bills and Jets haven’t both made the playoffs in the same year since 1998, thanks in part to New York’s current 11-season playoff drought. Buffalo enters on a four-game winning streak that includes victories at the Ravens and Chiefs and home against the Packers.

The rich got richer this week as the Bills traded for another explosive offensive weapon to add to quarterback Josh Allen’s arsenal. Versatile running back was acquired from the Colts on Tuesday’s trade deadline.

The Bills were not sharp against the Packers on Sunday but still won by double-digits over a perennial playoff contender led by one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

I don't think our whole football team right now, myself included, is where we want to be,” coach Sean McDermott said after the game.

Injured List

The Bills may get a boost on defense. The team is expected to activate Tre’Davious White, who tore his ACL in a game last Thanksgiving. McDermott confirmed that White would be activated but said the cornerback’s status for Sunday’s game was still day-to-day.

“Not really going to get into speculating on whether he's going to play this week or not," he said.

The picture is equally hazy for three other Bills players. Safety Jordan Poyer left Sunday’s game when he felt something in his elbow pop. He had an MRI on Monday, but McDermott said, "We're still evaluating his situation."

Linebacker Matt Milano is nursing an oblique injury and offensive lineman Spencer Brown missed Sunday’s game with an injured ankle. Both are going to be monitored throughout the week.

Getting Back on Winning Track

The Jets saw a four-game winning streak of their own snapped at home against the Patriots last weekend. To snap Buffalo’s streak, they’ll need to slow down Josh Allen, who had an off night against the Packers last Sunday.

Allen has been dominant against the Jets, going 5-2, including wins in his last four starts against them. Buffalo has averaged 29.3 points in those four wins, and Allen has thrown for 241 yards and nearly two touchdowns an outing.

The Jets believe their defense is up to the task. New York ranks 11th in the league in scoring defense at 19.9 ppg and sixth in yards allowed. Rookie corner Sauce Gardner will be tasked with slowing down the NFL pick and leading receiver in Stefon Diggs. The fourth overall pick in the draft has allowed a 45.5% completion rate in receivers he covers and just 7.6 yards per catch.

The Jets will still need to score with the Bills, and that means a big day from struggling young quarterback Zack Wilson, who ranks near the bottom of the league in passer rating, completion percentage and fewest touchdown throws. The Bills have the third-best defense in the league by yardage, so it won’t be easy for Wilson to break out.

The Pick

The Bills are the better team, but their point spread as a home favorite of nearly two touchdowns seems like a bit much, especially for a team that has scored 27, 23, and 24 points in three of its four October games.

Following the NFL odds, look for Wilson to find a way to score at least twice against the Bills defense and put some pressure on the division leaders in a defensive struggle.

NFL Pick: Jets +12.5 (-108) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Jets +12.5 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.