The New York Jets lost to the Indianapolis Colts on Thursday Night Football while the Buffalo Bills are coming off an inexplicable loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. Despite both sides suffering setbacks in Week 9, the best sportsbooks are confidently pegging the Bills as the double-digit favorites over the New York Jets for their pivotal AFC East showdown this weekend.
Do the books have it right? Or are the Bills overrated in Week 10 NFL betting markets? Find out as we preview this game and serve up choice NFL picks to spot.
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
Sunday, November 14, 2021 – 01:00 PM EST at MetLife Stadium
Bills Drop the Ball
To say the Bills dropped the ball against the Jaguars is an understatement. It was unequivocally one of the worst performances of the week, and one of Josh Allen’s worst career defeats as the Bills fell spectacularly short of expectations.
The Bills closed as the whopping 14.5-point road favorites across multiple sports betting markets, only to succumb to the outright upset. The season is only at the halfway mark, but the premium on wins can’t be understated in the race for the No.1 seed. One wonders whether the Bills will rue this missed opportunity when all is said and done.
Separately, as a result of the loss, the Bills slip to a 5-3-0 record on the season. Technically, Sean McDermott’s side is still in first place in the AFC East, but they’ve got competition now from the New England Patriots, who are enjoying a revival in 2021 behind rookie quarterback Mac Jones. The Patriots were winners over the Carolina Panthers in Week 9, closing the gap at the top of the table with a 5-4 record.
What happened to Buffalo’s offense is a mystery. Allen couldn’t get the offense moving at all and he was under constant pressure by a Jaguars defense that raised its level. Allen finished with 31 of 47 passing attempts for 264 yards, zero touchdowns, and 2 interceptions – one of which was picked up by his namesake! He also had a fumble lost in the game.
Jets Injury Woes
The Jets lost their Thursday Night Football showdown with the Indianapolis Colts 45-30. It marked the sixth loss for Robert Saleh and the Jets, but that wasn’t the worst news for the first-year head coach on a disappointing night.
Quarterback Mike White, who was the hero that led the Jets to the upset win over Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8, was forced to leave the game early after injuring a finger on his throwing hand. It was a disappointing turn of events for White, who’d started brightly and gone 7 of 11 for a touchdown in the first quarter.
Down his starting quarterback Zach Wilson and backup Mike White, Saleh turned to third-string quarterback Josh Johnson. However, it was a big ask, and you could see it on Saleh’s face. The Colts wasted no time capitalizing either on the quarterback change.
The Colts took command of the game with a 28-10 lead at halftime. By the third quarter, the Colts were up 42-10. Although the game was out of reach by that point, the Jets showed fight and spirit, that’s a real credit to the culture Saleh is cultivating in New York. Johnson took his chance and went 27 of 41 for 317 yards and three touchdowns. He did have 1 interception too.
Predictions and Picks
The Buffalo Bills are this season’s vogue NFL pick, and they were the popular bet to make Super Bowl 56 in early betting markets. However, recent weeks have shown a few chinks in their armor. Is the pressure getting to Josh Allen and the Bills? Is the weight of expectation proving too much?
Whatever it is, the Bills aren’t looking too convincing. Moreover, they just served up a handy blueprint to the league on how to beat them. A defensive-minded guru like Saleh will be all over that film to prepare for this game.
The New York Jets might not have much to play for save pride, but they’ve shown to be really competitive under these dire circumstances. And with the Bills shaking up and feeling the pressure from all sides, it would be remiss not to consider the Jets plus the points for NFL picks here.
The Jets have nothing to lose, and if White gets another start this week, he will be eager to make it count. Same goes for Johnson. Both have futures in the NFL to think about, and with opportunities far in between, this is a rare opportunity either will want to seize.
That kind of motivation could prove a challenge for the Bills – something the market and the NFL odds aren’t taking into account, or so it seems. Even if the Jets don’t serve up an outright win, these backups have shown they can put up the points, so there’s also the backdoor cover to consider here too.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.