NFL Week 8 Player Props for the Weekend

profile image of scottkacsmar
Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers attempts a pass during the third quarter of the game against the Washington Commanders. Scott Taetsch/Getty Images/AFP.

The NFL’s Week 8 slate has some good matchups for player prop picks such as Raiders-Saints and Steelers-Eagles. We may not get the competitiveness we wanted out of Packers-Bills based on preseason expectations, but that one offers another prime prop opportunity this Sunday.

We have narrowed it down to a handful of player props that you can find at many of the best sportsbooks. You can use them in a parlay or play your favorite lines as singles.

Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, October 30, 2022 – 09:30 AM EDT at Wembley Stadium

Broncos Prop Bet: Jerry Jeudy

  • Over 46.5 Receiving Yards

Maybe it is crazy to trust the Denver offense to hit an Over, but maybe you just need good NFL picks to give yourself a reason to get up early to watch this game.

However, with Russell Wilson expected to return at quarterback, Jerry Jeudy has been arguably the most reliable player to bet on in this offense in 2022. Jeudy has had at least 53 yards in 5 out of 7 games.

The first time he didn’t was when he left after 10 snaps with an injury against Houston. He tried to play the next week against a tough San Francisco defense, but he was limited to 17 yards while only playing 59% of the snaps. Jeudy has played at least 84% of the snaps in the other 5 games where he was productive, including a 96-yard game with Brett Rypien at quarterback last week.

We know Wilson is trying desperately to impress in a Denver uniform and that has not gone well so far, but if this offense is going to get on track, it will involve Jeudy doing productive things in the passing game. You can trust him to hit his Over in this one.

NFL Pick: Jerry Jeudy Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Bovada logo
Jerry Jeudy Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Visit Site

Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints

Sunday, October 30, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at Caesars Superdome

Raiders’ Prop Bet: Josh Jacobs

  • Over 85.5 Rushing Yards

The hottest running back in the NFL is not Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, or Saquon Barkley. In his 4th season, Josh Jacobs is on the best 3-game run of his career with 147 rushing yards per game and 6.39 yards per carry over the last 3 games.

In Week 4, Jacobs rushed for a career-high 144 yards against Denver. A week later, he rushed for 154 yards against the Chiefs to break his own personal best. Last Sunday against Houston’s awful run defense, Jacobs rushed for 143 yards and 3 touchdowns to power the Raiders to a 38-20 win.

Had the Texans not thrown a pick-six late in the game, Jacobs likely would have got a few more carries to try setting his career high in rushing for a 3rd week in a row. He has been uniquely dominant for the Raiders the last month and if he rushes for over 140 yards again this week, he’ll tie Earl Campbell as the only back to top 140 rushing yards in 4 straight games.

Will Jacobs Hit His Over?

But Jacobs only needs 86 yards this week to hit his rushing over. The Raiders seem to really believe this is the best way for the offense to succeed this year after a messy start incorporating Davante Adams into the passing game with the receivers Derek Carr was so much more comfortable with last year (Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow). Jacobs should get his opportunities again in this one.

The Saints are not a quality run defense, ranking 22nd in yards and 21st in yards per carry. Arizona’s Eno Benjamin just had a 92-yard game against the Saints in Week 7. It was the 4th game this year where the Saints allowed a team to rush for at least 137 yards.

Prop Pick

Beyond the matchup, you just have to appreciate the way Jacobs is a workhorse in an era filled with running backs by committee Josh McDaniels was no stranger to that RBBC approach in New England, but in Las Vegas, he is giving Jacobs 104 more carries than the next-closest back (Brandon Bolden) so far. That is why you should trust the Raiders to ride Jacobs again in this matchup for your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bovada

Bovada logo
Josh Jacobs Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Visit Site

Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, October 30, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at AT&T Stadium

Bears’ Prop Bet: Khalil Herbert

  • Over 39.5 Receiving Yards

After rushing for 480 yards over the last 2 games, the Chicago Bears are No. 1 in rushing yards this season and No. 5 in yards per carry (5.2). Part of this recent boost has been the increased usage of quarterback Justin Fields after he rushed for over 80 yards in back-to-back games.

This makes Fields an enticing choice to hit his over (47.5 yards) in this game, but seeing the Cowboys hold Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts under 30 yards gives us pause. We are going to stick with a more conventional pick in Khalil Herbert, the No. 2 back behind David Montgomery.

Dallas fans can best understand Herbert by viewing him as the Tony Pollard to Ezekiel Elliott’s Montgomery. Herbert just looks more explosive than the veteran and deserves more opportunities for this offense. His line of 39.5 rushing yards is low here.

Despite splitting time into several games, Herbert has rushed for at least 40 yards in 5 out of 7 games this year. One of the games he didn’t crack 40 was against Green Bay when he only played 8 snaps and still had 38 yards on 4 rushes.

Herbert is a big play waiting to happen, so he can get the bulk of his 40 yards on one play. The Cowboys are No. 20 in rushing yards allowed and No. 17 in yards per carry against (4.4), so this has not been an elite run defense. Dallas is not dominant enough offensively this season to expect the Bears to abandon the run in this matchup. Bet on Herbert to go Over again.

NFL Pick: Khalil Herbert Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bovada

Bovada logo
Khalil Herbert Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Visit Site

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, October 30, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at Lincoln Financial Field

Steelers’ Prop Bet: Pat Freiermuth

  • Over 34.5 Rushing Yards

The Eagles lead the NFC with 9 interceptions on defense, so taking rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett to throw multiple picks at +175 odds is extremely tempting in this matchup. But Pickett might know he can’t keep throwing a Ryan Leaf like a number of picks if he wants to keep this job, so we are going to try to pick something more positive for the Pittsburgh offense in this one.

Cornerback play has a lot to do with Philadelphia’s success this year with Darius Slay having an incredible year and James Bradberry right there with him. This could be a very difficult game for Pickett to attack his wide receivers, Diontae Johnson and George Pickens, outside the numbers against those corners.

This is why we are hoping tight end Pat Freiermuth has a big game against safeties and linebackers and down the middle of the field where the Steelers barely go. Freiermuth often looks like a great target in this offense, but too often he is forgotten about until the fourth quarter when the Steelers need to go to hurry up. Just like that, Freiermuth is open and racks up an extra 30-to-50 yards after being ignored much of the game.

If that happens again in a game the Steelers are a 10.5-point underdog and expected to trail, then so be it as long as he hits his over. But the fact is Freiermuth has hit 35 yards in four out of six games this year, and one of the times he didn’t was when he suffered a concussion in Buffalo and missed half the game.

Trust Freiermuth to give you at least 35 yards. Be cautious about playing any of those wideouts in this matchup.

NFL Pick: Pat Freiermuth Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Bovada

Bovada logo
Pat Freiermuth Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Visit Site

Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills

Sunday, October 30, 2022 – 08:25 PM EDT at Highmark Stadium

Packers’ Prop Bet: Aaron Rodgers

  • Over 0.5 Total Interceptions Thrown

NFL fans have never seen Aaron Rodgers down this bad before. His Packers are 3-4 for the first time in his career, and this week marks the first time he is a double-digit underdog in a game with the Bills favored by 11 points on Sunday night.

Rodgers’ previous high spread as an underdog was 8.5 points in both meetings with the 2014 Seahawks, a great team. Rodgers played them on opening night and lost by 20 points in a game where he threw one interception. He saw them again in the NFC Championship Game where the Packers blew a 16-0 lead and lost 28-22 in overtime, but Rodgers also threw a pair of interceptions in that game.

The only other game in his career where Rodgers was an 8-point underdog was the 2019 NFC Championship Game in San Francisco. He threw two interceptions in that 37-20 loss.

Rogers Interception Tendencies

Do you see the pattern here? Rodgers as a big road underdog against an elite team with a top-tier defense leads to a loss and an interception, which is something he rarely throws. He has tossed 3 this season though, including a pick-six against the Patriots.

Rodgers hasn’t seen a Buffalo defense this good since 2014, a game where he, you may have guessed it, threw 2 interceptions, and lost. That was during his second MVP season too. The Bills are getting the worst version of Rodgers yet as his QBR is a career-low 40.3, ranked 26th in the league right behind Kenny Pickett, who lost 38-3 in Buffalo already.

The Bills have already intercepted Matthew Stafford, Lamar Jackson, and Patrick Mahomes multiple times this season. The Bills lead the NFL with 10 interceptions despite having a bye week already.

With the way the Bills score points and can put pressure on Rodgers to answer with a shorthanded offensive cast, this is a game where he should lose and throw an interception or two. Take advantage of the value offered for going against Rodgers at the lowest point of his career.

NFL Pick: Aaron Rodgers Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+145) at Bovada

Bovada logo
Aaron Rodgers Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+145)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.