Best NFL Week 3 Player Props for the Weekend

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Joe Flacco #19 of the New York Jets passes the ball against the Cleveland Browns. Nick Cammett/Getty Images/AFP.

A good-looking Week 3 slate in the NFL makes it easier to come up with player prop picks.

These props are available at many of the top-rated sportsbooks, so feel free to add them to a parlay or play your favorite NFL picks as singles.

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Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins

Sunday, September 25, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Hard Rock Stadium

Dolphins’ Prop Bet: Tua Tagovailoa

  • At Least One Interception Thrown

The Dolphins are the talk of the NFL this week after their thrilling 42-38 comeback win in Baltimore on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa became the 10th quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 450 yards and six touchdown passes.

Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle each had over 170 yards and two touchdowns, showing the full capability of their speed in this system.

Buffalo's Winning Streak

Now the Dolphins host the Bills and could start 3-0 with a head-to-head win in Sunday’s best game on paper.

Or is it? The fact is, Buffalo has won seven games in a row over Miami, and all but one was by double digits.

Josh Allen has owned the Dolphins in his career with multiple touchdowns in every game, and he looks to be playing his best football right now.

The Difference in Defense

The Bills allow a league-low 3.6 yards per play and the Dolphins allow a league-worst 6.9 yards per play. Von Miller has been an excellent addition to the Buffalo defense.

We also need to consider that Tagovailoa threw 2 interceptions against the Ravens, and that was already the fifth time since 2021 that the Ravens allowed a 400-yard passer.

The rest of the NFL has allowed 13 400-yard passers in that time. The Bills have allowed two teams to hit 300 passing yards in their last 21 games.

Buffalo's Defensive Stats

Buffalo has 7 takeaways and has yet to allow 200 passing yards in 2 games this season.

Following the NFL odds, look for Tagovailoa to get intercepted in this game by a fantastic defense. He has thrown 4 interceptions in 2 starts against the Bills that he finished. Trust the Buffalo defense in this one.

NFL Pick: Tua Tagovailoa At Least One Interception Thrown (-143) at Bovada

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Tua Tagovailoa At Least One Interception Thrown (-143)
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, September 25, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at Lucas Oil Stadium

Chiefs’ Prop Bet: Marquez Valdes-Scantling

  • Over 40.5 Receiving Yards

The Chiefs have looked solid on offense without Tyreek Hill through two games this year. But one thing we haven’t seen yet is the deep-ball connection between Patrick Mahomes and former Green Bay speedster Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

In two games, MVS has 6 catches for 54 yards and a long of 17 yards. He has had at least one 60-yard catch in every season of his career.

The Chiefs have a lot of injuries at receiver right now, but it looks like their guys are going to play this Sunday.

With the way Mahomes tends to throw better on the road, and the way the Colts were picked apart by Trevor Lawrence last week, this could be a rough game for Indy’s defense.

All Odds In

Valdes-Scantling is more than capable of clearing 40 yards on one play, and this might be the week where he makes that deep ball catch from Mahomes.

He could also just get it on short catches like in Week 1 in Arizona when he had four catches for 44 yards.

Either way, this is a low total to clear for a receiver that Mahomes will want to get a better connection with. They were 2-for-7 on their targets against the Chargers.

NFL Pick: Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-117) at Bovada

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders

Sunday, September 25, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at FedExField

Eagles’ Prop Bet: DeVonta Smith

  • Over 43.5 Receiving Yards

The Eagles infamously completed 0 passes to DeVonta Smith in Week 1 in Detroit. Quarterback Jalen Hurts made sure to correct that on Monday night by going to Smith early and often.

He ended up with 80 yards by catching all 7 of his targets in an excellent game for the passing offense.

The Eagles had four different receivers with at least 69 receiving yards, and Smith even had more yards than A.J. Brown. This number looks quite low against a Washington defense that has been quite bad.

Reinforced Defense

The defense was just shredded by Detroit’s duo of Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Even Christian Kirk went off for over 100 yards for Jacksonville in Week 1.

Smith should be able to clear 43.5 yards without an issue. Hurts looks much more confident this season and is playing with a loaded offense.

But Smith’s contributions are going to be very important to this team’s success.

NFL Pick: DeVonta Smith Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-120) at Bovada

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DeVonta Smith Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
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Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears

Sunday, September 25, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at Soldier Field

Bears’ Prop Bet: David Montgomery

  • Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

This game could be a terrible one for the passing offenses with both teams scoring 29 points through two games.

Neither offense has cracked 300 yards of offense, and the Bears can’t even get 230 yards.

But one thing to like is Chicago running back David Montgomery. He had 15 carries for 122 yards against Green Bay.

He had 113 yards and a touchdown when he played Houston in 2020.

Betting on Throwing

The Bears have 28 pass attempts, the fewest through two games by any NFL offense since 1978. They probably will throw it more this week because of the criticism for the lack of throws, but they are still going to rely on Montgomery.

The Texans also have struggled to stop the run. Jonathan Taylor hit them for 161 yards in Week 1. Denver’s Javonte Williams had 75 yards in Week 2, and it would have been more if he didn’t lose 10 carries to Melvin Gordon (47 yards).

If there is an over to play for the offenses in this game, it would be Montgomery’s rushing.

NFL Pick: David Montgomery Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-126) at Bovada

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David Montgomery Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-126)
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets

Sunday, September 25, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium

Jets’ Prop Bet: Joe Flacco

  • Over 36.5 Pass Attempts

As Joe Flacco continues his revenge tour against the AFC North, the Bengals are next on the list after an incredible comeback win over the Browns. At 37 years old, Flacco is leading the NFL with 103 pass attempts through Week 2.

Head coach Robert Saleh seems to have no problem with letting Flacco air it out, as he has 59 and 44 pass attempts in the first two games. When he started for the Jets last year against Miami, he threw 39 passes.

When the Bengals played in New York last season, unknown quarterback Mike White started and threw for 405 yards on 45 attempts in a shocking upset win. White also threw 44 passes in a loss to Buffalo last year.

Meanwhile, Zach Wilson threw over 40 passes just once in his rookie year. It looks like Saleh is a lot more comfortable with his other quarterbacks throwing a lot to help the Jets keep up.

A Safe Bet

You could bet on Flacco to throw for a lot of yards in this one too, but sort of expecting him to throw for 300 yards for a third week in a row, you could just bet on him to hit his over in attempts.

This way, if he lays an egg and struggles, there’s a good chance you will still win the bet with the Jets throwing to catch up.

NFL Pick: Joe Flacco Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (-104) at Bovada

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Joe Flacco Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (-104)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.