Back to one Monday Night Football game this week, the Dallas Cowboys will take on the New York Giants. Dallas is a 1-point road underdog with a total of 39 points at many of the top-rated sportsbooks.
Dallas has swept the Giants every year since 2017 except for in 2020 when they lost the one game that quarterback Dak Prescott missed.
Cooper Rush will start in Prescott’s place on Monday night, but he is 2-0 with a couple decent performances in starting for Mike McCarthy. Can he keep it up and get this offense producing?
What about the Giants starting 2-0 for the first time since 2016? This suddenly is a big game in the NFC East, and we have some interesting player prop picks to choose from.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
Monday, September 26, 2022 – 08:15 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium
Quarterback Props: Cowboys’ Cooper Rush
We have a trio of props involving Dallas quarterback Cooper Rush. Going back to his Green Bay days, Mike McCarthy has done a respectable job with unknown backup quarterbacks.
With Rush in Dallas, he has gone 2-0 with Rush leading a game-winning drive in each game.
But the quarterback was also productive in each game. Rush threw for 325 yards and two touchdowns against the Vikings last year.
On Sunday against the Bengals, he threw for 235 yards and looked a lot more comfortable than Dak Prescott did in an off night in Week 1.
Rush vs. Jones
While it’s a super small sample size in 2022, Rush is currently No. 6 in QBR (72.4) while Giants quarterback Daniel Jones is 28th (30.4) and has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game under new coach Brian Daboll. To say that the offense is fixed would be a lie.
If I am betting on a quarterback in this matchup, I want Rush hitting his over in passing yards, which seem to be set enticingly low at 210.5.
You could also bet on him to pass for more yards than Jones (-139) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review).
Finally, if we are putting all this together, then there is a valuable player performance double for Rush to pass for at least 250 yards and the Cowboys to win (+289) at Bovada.
When you consider that the Giants have trailed by at least seven points in the second half of both games and still won, something they had not done in back-to-back weeks in 50 years, then it is easy to say that Dallas is still the better team in this matchup.
Wide receiver Michael Gallup also could make his season debut and is a great weapon for Dallas to pair up with CeeDee Lamb.
Throw in Micah Parsons leading the defense after Jones, who is prone to sacks and fumbles, and I like Dallas to win the game with Rush putting up solid numbers again.
NFL Pick: Cooper Rush Over 210.5 Passing Yards (-105) at Bovada
NFL Pick: Head-to-head, Cooper Rush More Passing Yards Than Daniel Jones (-139) at Bovada
NFL Pick: Cooper Rush to Have 250+ Passing Yards and Dallas to Win (+289) at Bovada
Running Back Prop: Cowboys’ Tony Pollard Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Dallas is one of the few teams in the league where its highly paid starting running back (Ezekiel Elliott) is viewed as the lesser player to the backup (Tony Pollard).
In Week 2, Pollard stepped up with 43 rushing yards, his first touchdown of the season, and he also had 55 yards on four catches.
Pollard has never scored a touchdown in 6 games against the Giants, but he did rush for 75 and 74 yards in the two meetings last year. He may not do that well again, but his over/under is half of that, which he should be able to exceed in this matchup.
The Panthers got a 100-yard rushing game out of Christian McCaffrey last week in New York. Pollard has the speed to break a long run that can make hitting this over easy.
NFL Pick: Tony Pollard Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bovada
Wide Receiver Prop: Giants’ Sterling Shepard Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
We are not all-in on Dallas in this matchup. If a player for the Giants is going to do something, it probably will be slot receiver Sterling Shepard. He had 71 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 before hauling in 6 passes for just 34 yards in Week 2.
The opportunities should be there again as no one is shining brightly for the passing game right now. Shepard had 112 yards against the Cowboys in 2020.
He only had 15 yards at home against Dan Quinn’s Dallas defense in 2021, but that December game deserves an asterisk with Mike Glennon (backup) and Jake Fromm (the worst backup) throwing all 36 passes for the Giants that day.
Say what you will about Jones, but he is better than those guys. He should be able to get Shepard over 36.5 yards in this matchup.
NFL Pick: Sterling Shepard Over 36.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bovada
Longshot TD Scorer: Giants’ Richie James (+420)
The Giants have four offensive touchdowns this season and only two of them have gone to players you might expect (Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard).
It seems like Kenny Golladay, the high-priced acquisition from Detroit, is never going to score in New York. Also, 2021 first-round pick Kadarius Toney cannot seem to find his role in the offense.
The player who currently leads the Giants in catches (10) and receiving yards (110) is wide receiver Richie James. The Giants signed him back in March and he has responded with 5 catches on 6 targets for just over 50 yards in each game this season.
James played for the 49ers in 2018-20 and caught 1 touchdown in each season while making 38 catches for the 49ers.
James’ NFL odds as a touchdown scorer are not high (+420) in this matchup, but if you are looking for a longshot who has been getting opportunities in this offense and making the most of them, then that player is James right now.
NFL Pick: Richie James Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+420) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.