Feel free to add these to a highly profitable parlay or play your favorites as singles.
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, September 18, 2022 – 04:05 PM EDT at Levi’s Stadium
Seahawks’ Prop Bet: Will Dissly
- Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Either this line is embarrassingly low or Will Dissly just likes to show up against the Denver Broncos in Week 1. A fourth-round pick in 2018, Dissly made his NFL debut against Denver and had 105 yards and a touchdown. He hasn’t sniffed 100 yards in another game since and has been used sparingly at tight end in Seattle.
But on the first drive of the post-Russell Wilson era on Monday night, Dissly was on the receiving end of a 38-yard touchdown from Geno Smith. He finished the game with 43 yards on three targets.
This line is low, but there obviously is some risk with betting on a player who has cleared 14 receiving yards in 24 of his 43 career games (55.8%). But the Seahawks got a solid debut out of Geno Smith, and he does not seem like he wants to lock onto DK Metcalf or Tyler Lockett at wide receiver.
Dissly should have some looks in this one, and the 49ers will be facing a better passing test than what the Bears had last week. Broken plays hurt the 49ers in that one, and some of Geno’s best work in Week 1 was extending the play like the Dissly touchdown. If all it takes is one broken coverage, then this could hit in one snap on Sunday.
NFL Pick: Will Dissly Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-120) at Bovada
Arizona Cardinals vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, September 18, 2022 - 04:25 PM EDT at Allegiant Stadium
Raiders’ Prop Bet: Darren Waller
- Over 47.5 Receiving Yards
Week 2 is a great opportunity for smart teams to correct mistakes in the opener. Are the Raiders a smart team yet under Josh McDaniels? It didn’t look like it last week in Los Angeles, but let’s hope it works out against an Arizona team that looked lost against the Chiefs.
The Raiders got a bad game out of Derek Carr last week as he was too focused on new wideout Davante Adams (17 targets) that tight end Darren Waller and slot receiver Hunter Renfrow barely got any attention until the fourth quarter when the Raiders had a chance at a comeback.
Adams is great and Carr was at his best against the Chargers when targeting him, but for this offense to work, it has to get the other talent involved. Waller turned his quiet start into 79 yards last week. Now he gets an Arizona defense that allowed 121 yards to tight end Travis Kelce.
Is Waller just as good as Kelce? I would say no, but he is still one of the best in the game. For him to not break 50 yards with ease in this game would be a big concern for the Raiders going forward. This should be one of the best props of the week.
NFL Pick: Darren Waller Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-120) at Bovada
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
Sunday, September 18, 2022 - 08:20 PM EDT at Lambeau Field
Packers’ Prop Bet: Robert Tonyan
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Did you know Aaron Rodgers has not thrown a touchdown pass in consecutive starts for the first time in his career? Between the playoff loss to the 49ers and Week 1’s loss in Minnesota, Rodgers came up empty both times.
While the loss of Davante Adams at wide receiver is a real concern, Rodgers is going to throw touchdown passes this season. He should even do it this week as home games in prime time against the Chicago Bears have been very fruitful for him in his career.
If Rodgers is going to get back on track and throw a touchdown, tight end Robert Tonyan is a great option in the red zone now that Adams is gone. Tonyan caught 11 touchdowns in 2020 before injury shortened his 2021 season. Tonyan returned last week and had three catches for 36 yards on a quiet day for the passing game.
Look for the passing game to look much better, and Tonyan is an ideal value pick to haul in a touchdown. But if Rodgers goes a third-straight game without a touchdown pass, we may need to start asking if this is the end of the road for him.
NFL Pick: Robert Tonyan Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200) at Bovada
Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants
Sunday, September 18, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium
Giants’ Prop Bet: Saquon Barkley
- Over 74.5 Rushing Yards
Have we gone back in time to 2018 with Saquon Barkley being worth a play? Barkley’s 164 rushing yards against the Titans were his third most in a game in his pro career. He had a 68-yard run to boost those numbers, but that is the kind of game-breaking ability that got him drafted so high in the first place to the Giants.
Now rookie coach Brian Daboll is trying to build up a strong running attack to help Daniel Jones, who is still very much in the developing process in New York. Barkley can be a big boost if he can contribute on the ground the way he did last week against what was thought to be a solid Tennessee front.
Barkley draws a Carolina defense that had plenty of problems with the Cleveland backfield duo of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, who combined for 187 yards on the ground last week.
While Chubb and Hunt split the carries, Barkley had 18 of the team’s 23 runs from the running back position. He should get the lion’s share again and is in a good position to hit his over for the second week in a row.
NFL Pick: Saquon Barkley Over 74.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bovada
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, September 18, 2022 - 01:00 PM EDT at Acrisure Stadium
Steelers’ Prop Bet: Mitchell Trubisky
- Over 0.5 Total Interceptions Thrown
This one is just too tempting with Bill Belichick’s defense facing Mitch Trubisky. Last week, Trubisky did not show great accuracy in Cincinnati, but he avoided turnovers. In fact, it was just the third time in his career he got to 38 pass attempts and did not throw an interception.
Meanwhile, the Patriots had no turnovers in Miami in a 20-7 loss where the offense was more at fault than the defense. But a lack of turnovers from a Belichick defense is surprising, and it has happened four times in the team’s last five games.
As alarming as that sounds, it must be noted that all four games with zero takeaways were against the Bills and Dolphins, two division rivals who have been getting the best of New England.
Historically, even with Ben Roethlisberger, the Steelers have not done well against the Patriots. In what could be an ugly, low-scoring game, look for Trubisky to throw his first interception in a Pittsburgh uniform.
NFL Pick: Mitchell Trubisky Over 0.5 Total Interceptions Thrown (-120) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.