We’ve reached the decisive day with Pablo Carreno Busta and Dominic Thiem fighting for the Rio Open title this Sunday. Bookmakers Review breaks down the fixture below and lists the best available odds from green listed bookmakers.
Carreno Busta vs. Thiem
Regardless of this Sunday’s result one thing is certain, Pablo Carreno Busta already ensured his career high ranking next week. Playing on clay clearly suits Carreno Busta’s solid baseline game with the Spaniard holding a terrific 65.28% winning record while his overall record on the other surfaces is only 50.91%. Looking now to Pablo’s campaign in Rio, the world no.24 reaches this stage of the competition after saving one match point in his semi-finals clash against the 18 years old wild card – Casper Ruud.
As we predicted in our ATP Rio de Janeiro semi-finals analysis, Albert Ramos-Vinolas couldn’t find an answer to Dominic Thiem’s powerful tennis. After struggling to perform at his best in the first weeks of the year, Thiem is clearly back to the level that he presented throughout 2016. This is already Dominic’s 11th career final with the Austrian looking for his 8th title on the ATP World Tour.
These two players know each other very well with Thiem winning all their previous three encounters on the ATP World Tour after Carreno Busta’s victory on the Challenger Tour back in 2013.
With Dominic playing at such a high level, it’s highly unlikely to see Carreno Busta leaving Rio de Janeiro with the title. With this in mind, Thiem is the undeniable favourite for this final with Pinnacle offering 17/50 for his triumph while Pablo is available at 11/4 at Bet365. Even though the price on Thiem’s moneyline is not very high, it’s still a very good option for a parlay. For those who want to take a higher risk on a single play, Dominic’s -4.0 game handicap at 19/20 at Pinnacle is the best approach for this match.
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