Texas Tech vs. TCU NCAAF Week 10 Betting Preview: Is Pressure Building on Horned Frogs?

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Max Duggan #15 of the TCU Horned Frogs is brought down by his face mask by Brock Martin #9 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Ron Jenkins/Getty Images/AFP.

On top of the Big 12 standings, the TCU Horned Frogs are one of a half-dozen undefeated teams in the country as they prepare to host the upset-minded Texas Tech Red Raiders.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, November 5, 2022 – 12:00 PM EDT at Amon G. Carter Stadium

With each passing week and each victory added to their total, the pressure builds on the Horned Frogs and the Texas Tech Red Raiders are next up on the schedule to try and end TCU’s Cinderella season.

A 50/1 pick to win their conference title before the season started, the Horned Frogs have already surpassed the 7-win total that many shops listed on the NCAAF futures, and TCU stands as the last remaining hope for the Big 12 to be represented in the College Football Playoffs.

TCU Double-Digit Chalk for Third Time in ‘22

Action has been mixed on both sides of the 10-point spread, the Horned Frogs were handed when opening numbers went out on Sunday, the third time in 2022 for TCU lay 10+ points after being favored by 13.5 in the season opener against Colorado and 40 against Tarleton State.

Both the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs are sporting 6-2 O/U records heading into the matchup, and the 70.5-71 total is the highest on the Week 10 college football betting card.

Texas Tech off Lackluster Performance vs. Baylor

Favored by a point at home last Saturday, the Red Raiders started slow and ended even slower in a 45-17 setback to Baylor to mark their third loss in 4 games. Texas Tech was literally easy pickings for the Bears who came away with 5 interceptions.

No matter who Joey McGuire sent out on the field to quarterback the Red Raiders, they couldn’t keep from throwing the football to a Baylor defender as 3 different Texas Tech QBs combined for a puny 12-38 passing and 159 yards through the air.

If there was any good news for Texas Tech, it was that Tyler Shough under center saw action for the first time since the opening week, and the senior transfer from Oregon is expected to play this Saturday against the Horned Frogs.


Late Cover at West Virginia for TCU

Closing as 7-point favorites at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review), Sonny Dykes and the Horned Frogs were in a tough battle for the entire 60 minutes last Saturday at West Virginia where they didn’t truly wrap up the win or the cover until a touchdown in the final minute.

It was another case of long plays that did the trick for Max Duggan and the TCU offense. The Horned Frogs lead the nation with 14 plays of 50+ yards, a big reason why they are 4th in the country averaging better than 518 yards per game.

Tech Looking to End 3-Game Skid vs. TCU

In the rivalry that began in 1926, Texas Tech owns the all-time lead with a 32-29 record (plus 3 ties), but it is TCU with the 6-4 edge since the two schools hooked back up as Big 12 opponents. The Horned Frogs took the Big 12 lead by winning the last 3 meetings.

Last year’s matchup in Lubbock, turned out to be one of the few highlights of the 2021 season for TCU. The Horned Frogs busted out to a 28-7 lead early in the second quarter and never looked back as they literally ran over the Red Raiders, 52-31.

  • TCU has covered the last two meetings as chalk on the NCAAF odds.
  • 4 of the last 6 clashes failed to reach the totals, including the last 3 games played in Ft. Worth.
  • Texas Tech is winless on the road this season while TCU is a perfect 4-0 at home.

Could Rain Interfere With the Game?

Some rain from Friday’s thunderstorms could still be lingering in the Ft. Worth area on Saturday morning. Assuming the precipitation clears out by kickoff, look for partly cloudy skies and the thermometer climbing into the mid-60s by the end of the contest.

Texas Tech Covers, TCU Stays Unbeaten

These are the top offenses in the Big 12 in total offense, but TCU has been able to score more with the yardage gained (44.3 ppg) than Texas Tech has managed to do (33.9 ppg). A huge factor in that difference is the turnover margin: TCU +6, Texas Tech -7.

The Red Raiders have taken down a pair of ranked teams already this season, beating Houston and Texas back in September, and the Horned Frogs are in a dangerous look-ahead spot with a road trip to face Texas next week.


The Pick

Dykes and TCU will manage to keep the unbeaten streak alive, but my NCAAF picks are on the Red Raiders staying within the spread.

NCAAF Pick: Texas Tech +10 (-110) at BetOnline

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Texas Tech +10 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.