One of the best and most heated rivalries on the collegiate gridiron takes place this Saturday in Dallas, and we’ve got bettors covered with a winning NCAA football pick for the annual clash between the Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners.
Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday, October 08, 2022 – 12:00 PM EDT at Cotton Bowl
Just about everything at the Texas State Fair is deep-fried, from corn dogs to Twinkies, and this year’s Red River Showdown will also feature an Oklahoma Sooners defense that was burned to a crisp last weekend and has the Texas Longhorns licking their chops in advance of the matchup.
The 118th meeting between the Sooners and Longhorns really does have the potential to turn into a good old-fashioned shootout.
That is what they called the rivalry before the PC police decided it was more important to change the name of a football game than doing something about the real shootouts that take place daily in South Dallas.
Assuming the numbers hold at or near their current listings, something that hasn’t happened since 2009 will take place in this year’s renewal of the Oklahoma and Texas rivalry, and that is the Longhorns being favored.
Official openers had Texas showing up as 5-point chalk, and that spread has risen to 6½ at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) and many other top-rated sportsbooks. Scoreboard bettors are looking at a 65-point total.
Steve Sarkisian’s squad bounced back from a tough overtime loss at Texas Tech in Week 4 with a 38-20 Week 5 win at home over West Virginia, covering the 7½-point spread at top-rated sportsbooks and climbing back over .500 for the season in the process.
The game wasn’t as close as it might seem as the Longhorns built a 28-0 lead in the first half behind the passing of Hudson Card (21-27, 303 yds), two of his three scoring strikes going to Xavier Worthy who also passed for a touchdown of his own.
Whether or not Card is under center for this matchup with Oklahoma remains to be seen. The redshirt sophomore took over in Week 2 for injured starter Quentin Ewers, and reports are that Ewers is recovering from his shoulder injury quicker than anticipated.
Considering the elite defenses he coached at Clemson as the Tigers’ defensive coordinator, there was nobody more shocked by the Sooners’ 55-24 loss to TCU in Ft. Worth this past Saturday than Brent Venables himself.
Venables had to watch helplessly as the Horned Frogs, who were getting 5 points on the NCAAF odds, scored four touchdowns in the first quarter, one of the scores on a 73-yard pass by TCU’s Max Duggan and another on a 67-yard run by Duggan.
Some of the early flatness on Oklahoma’s part might have been attributed to a letdown after a Week 4 upset at the hands of Kansas State, but as my buddy who joined me at the bar to watch the game noted, “That’s the Oklahoma defense I’m accustomed to seeing.”
The Sooners were also never really able to get things going on the offensive side after quarterback Dillon Gabriel left the game in the second quarter, and the junior is questionable to return for this game as he goes through concussion protocol.
This game has been taking place around the same time on the schedule for nearly 100 years now, and Texas has managed to build a 62-50 lead in the rivalry, plus 5 ties, with Oklahoma winning the last four matchups.
Last year’s collision was one of the wildest in a series that has seen more than its share of crazy contests, as Texas shot out to a 28-7 lead in the opening quarter before Oklahoma caught fire to rally for a 55-48 decision that closed with the Sooners favored by 4 points.
- The Sooners have covered the spread three times in their current 4-game win streak.
- Oklahoma has been favored the last 13 matchups with Texas.
- The Sooners and Longhorns have combined to average over 80 points in the last five contests.
This game is very crucial to bettors holding NCAA football futures tickets on the eventual Big 12 champion, especially those with wagers on the Longhorns who would be behind the 8-ball with a second conference loss.
Oklahoma already has two Big 12 defeats, and a third would end any discussion of the Sooners taking the conference crown while also leaving them with their first 3-loss season in the league since going 5-4 in 2014.
Maybe it won’t be a scoreboard buster, but a 38-30 Longhorns win will at least send the final score past the total.
NCAAF Pick: Over 65 (-108) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.