Texas vs. Kansas NCAAF Week 12 Top Picks: Improving Bowl Game Position

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Jahdae Barron #23 of the Texas Longhorns is congratulated by teammates after a fumble recovery for a touchdown against the TCU Horned Frogs. Tim Warner/Getty Images/AFP.

Looking to avenge an embarrassing loss at home to the Jayhawks a year ago, the Texas Longhorns head north to Kansas on the Week 12 NCAA football betting slate.

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Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Saturday, November 19, 2022 – 03:30 PM EST at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium

With both the Texas Longhorns and Kansas Jayhawks having already earned those all-important 6th wins, the Big 12 rivals don the pads and lace up the cleats in hopes of moving up in the pecking order for this year’s bowl game invites.

Texas still holds out hopes for finishing 2nd in the conference standings and having a chance to play for the Big 12 title, but the Longhorns’ chances are next to zero now, while Kansas has spiraled out of the picture since getting off to a fast start on the 2022 campaign.

“We Were Just Off” – Sarkisian

With more than 104,000 fans in Memorial Stadium, the vast majority of whom were clad in orange, Texas suffered through its worst offensive performance of the season in a 17-10 setback to TCU this past Saturday night.

The Longhorns closed as 7-point home chalk at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review), and wound up with under 200 yards of offense for the first time since their 2015 season opener, with the only touchdown Texas scored coming on a fumble return late in the fourth quarter.

With the Horned Frogs shutting down the Texas running game, redshirt freshman Quinn Ewers had a horrible evening trying to move his team through the air by completing just 17 of 39 aerials for 171 yards and a pick.

Hoping to ease the blame on his quarterback, Longhorns head coach Steve Sarkisian said the loss was a team effort after the game by commenting, “We were just off.” Coach speaks on Sarkisian’s part, no doubt since the Texas defense was outstanding.

Kansas 1-4 SU Last 5

It’s a good thing Lance Leipold’s lads in Lawrence opened the season with that surprising 5-game win streak because the Jayhawks have looked like their old selves the last 5 games with only an upset win over Oklahoma State to show for their effort.

Kansas was getting 3.5 at the best sportsbooks this past weekend in Lubbock against Texas Tech, and the Jayhawks dug themselves an early 24-7 hole they couldn’t climb out of in a 43-28 loss to the Red Raiders.

Jason Bean did his best to bring the Jayhawks back with 3 touchdown passes among his 17 completions, plus a scoring run of his own as Kansas rolled up 525 yards of offense, but the defense had no answers for the Texas Tech offense.

Can KU Beat Texas Twice in a Row?

Texas and Kansas will be meeting for the 21st time, with all but 2 of the previous 10 have taken place since the Big 12 was formed, and it’s the Longhorns with the 16-4 all-time stranglehold (16-2 in conference play).

One of the two Big 12 wins that Kansas earned came last season in a wild shootout down in Austin, where the Jayhawks were getting 31 points only to come away with a 57-56 win in overtime. It was the only win by Kansas over an FBS team in 2021.

  • Last year’s upset ended an 18-game Big 12 losing streak for Kansas.
  • The 57-56 final was 8-points short of doubling the 61-point total, marking the 3rd time in the last 4 meetings for the scoreboard target being breached.
  • Kansas has covered the NCAAF odds in each of the last 5 meetings.

Daniels' Status Remains Undefined

Except for a knee injury to special teams player Jaden Alexis, Texas didn’t report any new significant injuries after the loss to TCU other than Ewers having his ego bruised after such a poor performance.

Kansas continues to suggest that Jalon Daniels ( who started the season as No. 1 on the Kansas QB depth chart before suffering a shoulder injury in early October) could return at any time, though the consensus is he will not be back before the bowl season.

Kansas Won’t Rock This Chalk

There’s going to be plenty of sunshine in Lawrence on Saturday. However, the thermometer is never going to climb out of the 30s. Couple that with a northwest wind gusting up to 20 mph to make it feel even colder as well as affect the kicking game with Texas favored by 9.5.

Most shops are carrying 63.5 for the total, leaving me with a double play for my college football pick by laying the points and playing the final to come up short.

NCAAF Pick: Texas -9.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Texas -9.5 (-108)
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NCAAF Pick: Under 63.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports

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Under 63.5 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.