TCU vs. West Virginia NCAAF Week 9 Top Picks: Can Horned Frogs Stay Undefeated?

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Quarterback Max Duggan #15 of the TCU Horned Frogs passes against the Kansas Jayhawks. Ed Zurga/Getty Images/AFP.

On top of the Big 12 standings, the TCU Horned Frogs head to West Virginia for a Week 9 college football betting collision with the Mountaineers.

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TCU Horned Frogs vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, October 29, 2022 – 12:00 PM EDT at Milan Puskar Stadium

It has been a tough road for TCU to get through seven games without a loss, and staying undefeated is going to be even tougher for Sonny Dykes and the Horned Frogs who face three tough road trips among their final five games on the regular season schedule.

A trek to West Virginia is the first of those road games, and what might seem like an innocent contest against a Mountaineers team struggling near the bottom of the Big 12 standings has plenty of potential pitfalls awaiting the Horned Frogs.

Frogs Favored by a TD and a Hook

Pitfalls awaiting gamblers and handicappers alike can be found in the numbers that have been sent out for the clash, and after being sent out -6½, TCU has been pushed up to -7½ at most shops with total on a slight decline to 69 from its initial offer.

TCU Off 4-Straight Wins Over Ranked Opponents

The usual suspects were supposed to dominate the Big 12 once again. Texas and Oklahoma washed out however, and even if the Horned Frogs win out and take the conference championship game, they could still be pushed aside by a 1-loss Alabama team.

It has already been a tough October schedule for Dykes and TCU with wins over four opponents that were ranked at the time of the games, and that points to one potential pitfall for the Horned Frogs to be as motivated playing a 3-4 West Virginia team.

The past three weeks have seen TCU come from behind. Last Saturday found the Horned Frogs down by 18 at home to Kansas State midway through the second quarter, but Max Duggan and the offense once again found a way by scoring 28 unanswered points.

Texas Christian is tied with Oklahoma State in the Big 12 averaging 44.7 points per game, but the Horned Frogs have also been prone to giving up the points (26.7 ppg), and that combination is behind five of their seven contests going past the NCAA football odds.

WVU Shellacked in Lubbock

Neal Brown and the Mountaineers turned some heads a couple of weeks ago with a 43-40 win as small underdogs at home against Baylor, making it seem like they had turned the corner on a campaign that begin with a couple of tough setbacks,

Well, the corner they turned led West Virginia directly to Texas Tech last week, and the Red Raiders steamrolled the Mountaineers with a 48-10 pasting that included four turnovers for Brown’s bunch.

While the Mountaineers’ offense was busy giving the ball away, Texas Tech was busy running the West Virginia defense ragged by accumulating nearly 600 yards and playing error-free football. West Virginia ranks last in the big 12 giving up 33.7 PPG.

Mountaineers Seeking 5th-Straight Win in Rivalry

Texas Christian and West Virginia are meeting for the 12th time, the first of those taking place at the 1984 Bluebonnet Bowl and the last 10 coming since the Horned Frogs joined the Big 12 prior to the 2012 season.

The Mountaineers own a healthy 7-4 advantage in the series, 6-4 as conference opponents, and have won the last four after a convincing 29-17 decision a little more than a year ago in Ft. Worth where West Virginia was getting 5½ points from top-rated sportsbooks.

  • Last year’s cover was the sixth in a row for WVU bettors, three of those as underdogs.
  • The 2021 clash fell short of a 58-point total, the seventh time in eight meetings for that to happen.
  • Underdogs have covered six of the 10 meetings as Big 12 foes, winning outright four times.

Injuries and Mother Nature

Neither side is reporting any new significant injuries, though that could change during the week so bettors are strongly encouraged to check the latest news before making their plays.

Likewise, getting an update on the weather is advised. The current forecast calls for partly cloudy skies and temps in the upper 60s for Saturday afternoon in Ft. Worth, but there is rain in Friday’s forecast which could linger.

TCU vs. West Virginia Pick and Prediction

For whatever reason, the Horned Frogs have found a way to stumble against West Virginia in the past, and while I believe they’ll find a way to win this one in the end, it will be closer than many are predicting with a college football pick thrown in on the total coming up short.

NCAAF Pick: West Virginia +7½ (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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West Virginia +7½ (-108)
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NCAAF Pick: Under 60 (-108) at Heritage Sports

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Under 60 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.