SMU vs. Virginia Wasabi Fenway Bowl Best Bets

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Tanner Mordecai #8 of the SMU Mustangs. Dylan Buell/Getty Images/AFP.

Editor’s note: This game has been canceled because of COVID-19 issues at Virginia

The SMU Mustangs and Virginia Cavaliers are combining for nearly 1,000 yards on offense per game this season. Is that enough to take the over at the NCAAF odds in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl?

SMU Mustangs vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Wednesday, December 29, 2021 – 11:00 AM EST at Fenway Park

No, this isn’t a Yankees vs. Red Sox game. It’s SMU against Virginia in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl, held at Fenway Park. These are always cool games to watch. Football games on baseball fields are always interesting. While they don’t seem nearly as safe, they’re enjoyable games.

SMU went 8-4 on the season but the Mustangs ended up losing four of their last five after winning their first seven games of the season. It was a poor second half for the Mustangs but the first half carried them into being bowl eligible.

On the other hand, Virginia finished 6-6 and lost its last four games of the season. So basically, both teams had a great first half of the season and really struggled in the second half of the season.

The Mustangs scored 38.4 points per game while averaging 465.9 yards per game. SMU really dominated in the passing game with Tanner Mordecai under center. He threw for 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on the year and accumulated 3,628 yards on the season. He might reach 4,000 after this game is over against Virginia.

Virginia’s defense allowed 466 yards per game, with 240.2 yards in the passing game and 225.8 yards in the run game. SMU can still run a little bit, after averaging 161.4 yards per game on the season.

The run blocking wasn’t always consistent for the Mustangs but the offense was always doing their thing.

Meanwhile, on the defense, SMU has had its struggles in the secondary. The Mustangs gave up 278.1 yards per game in the air and won’t have it easy against a Virginia Cavaliers group that averaged over 515 yards per game on the offense. Virginia scored 34.6 points per game but allowed 31.8 points per game.

In the air, Virginia accumulated close to 400 yards per game. Now they’ll take on a really poor secondary in SMU. Although, SMU does have a solid pass rush that could put some pressure on quarterback Brennan Armstrong.

Armstrong threw for 4,444 yards on the season and accumulated 31 touchdowns while throwing 10 interceptions on the year. He was one of the best quarterbacks in the league but wasn’t talked about enough.

Prediction

I know the over is 71.5 at the best sportsbooks, but nobody would be surprised if the first team to 50 points won this game.

These offenses are averaging a combined 73 points per game while accumulating close to 1,000 yards on the offenses per game. Meanwhile, both defenses are giving up close to 900 yards per game and have had their struggles, especially in the second half of the season.

The over makes the most sense for this college football pick. A lot needs to happen for it to hit, but if we’re going to get over 700 yards passing between both teams, there’s a great chance the over hits.

NCAAF Pick: Over 71.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 71.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.