A couple of SEC teams coming off upset losses square off in Week 9, and we’re focusing on the NCAA football odds in the clash between the Ole Miss Rebels and Texas A&M Aggies.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Saturday, October 29, 2022 – 07:30 PM EDT at Kyle Field
It is really simple for Lane Kiffin and the Ole Miss Rebels: Win their remaining four games, get help from a conference cousin in taking down the LSU Tigers, then go and play the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Championship to redeem a season that went sideways this past week.
For Jimbo Fisher and the Texas Aggies, well, their season has been turned upside down now with a sub.-500 record in the standings, and their only redemption is in becoming bowl eligible and possibly playing the role of spoiler.
LSU Strangles Rebels’ Offense
Not that I’d want to spend a lot of time with Kiffin for any reason, but I surely wouldn’t want to sit and watch game film of Saturday’s loss down in Baton Rouge, a game that saw the Rebels shoot to a 17-3 lead early in the second quarter only to be outscored 42-3 by LSU the rest of the way.
If Ole Miss had dropped a tight one to the Tigers on the road, it wouldn’t have been much of an upset since BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) closed the contest as a pick. Unable to hold a 2-TD lead is an entirely different story, and it exposed holes in the Rebels’ run defense.
Kiffin’s offense also shares in the blame. The 20 points Jaxson Dart and Ole Miss put up marked a season-low, less than half what the Rebels were averaging entering the contest, and the 116 yards rushing also set a new low-tide mark for 2022.
Can Aggies Close Strong to Avoid Lost Season?
Before the season started and Texas A&M was a chic pick on the NCAA football futures to win the SEC, the maroon-clad crowd that packs Kyle Field was ready to name their first-born child Jimbo, whether it was a boy or girl.
Now, Fisher is on the hot seat in College Station. Just about everything that could go wrong in 2022 has, and the 30-24 loss as small road favorites at South Carolina last Saturday night left a lot of Aggies wondering how they got swindled into believing Fisher was worth $7.5 million.
The Aggies trailed from the get-go last Saturday, watching the Gamecocks run the opening kickoff back 100 yards then turning it over on their first two possessions while South Carolina built a 17-zip lead just a little more than five minutes into the game.
Defensively, the Aggies played well enough to keep them in the game, but that 17-0 hole was simply too much to overcome for an offense that ranks near the bottom of just about every meaningful NCAA statistical category.
First Meeting in College Station Since 2018
Ole Miss and Texas A&M are meeting for the 14th time, 10th as SEC rivals, and the Aggies hold a 10-3 lead all-time with a 6-3 record as conference foes, though the Rebels had to officially vacate their 2016 triumph after the NCAA caught them being naughty.
The Rebels posted a 29-19 win a year ago in Oxford, a mild upset on a +1 line at the top-rated sportsbooks as the final score fell comfortably short of the scoreboard target.
- Last year’s final was the seventh consecutive clash for the total to come up short.
- The pandemic wiped out the 2020 game at Kyle Field, and the Aggies won the 2018 contest in College Station, 38-24, to just cover a -13 spread.
- Texas A&M has drawn the chalk line in the last five matchups.
Weather Should Not Be a Factor
That string of the Aggies being favored will be broken on what should be a partly cloudy and cool evening in College Station, where Ole Miss is showing up as chalk in the 2½-3 range. Playing the scoreboard will mean a decision on a 55½-point total.
Injury Notes and The Pick
Two injuries on the Ole Miss side to monitor are running back Zach Evans, who missed last week with a balky knee and safety AJ Finley who left the LSU game early with an undisclosed injury.
Haynes King injured his shoulder late in the loss to South Carolina, and Texas A&M finished up with freshman Conner Weigman under center while Haynes’ status this week is still unknown.
Neither team has been a good cover, and that has me on the scoreboard coming up short for a college football pick in a 27-24 win for the Rebels.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.