Oklahoma St. vs. TCU: NCAAF Week 7 Betting Preview

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Quarterback Spencer Sanders #3 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys runs for nine yards and a first down to set up the go-ahead field goal late in the third quarter against the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Brian Bahr/Getty Images/AFP.

Nobody paid much attention to the Oklahoma State-TCU matchup before the season, but we’re focused on the contest now and looking for the winning NCAA football pick in the crucial Big 12 battle.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, October 15, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Amon G. Carter Stadium

While the College Football Playoffs might still be three months away, every week is playoff time down in the Big 12 where this Saturday’s key skirmish pits the Oklahoma State Cowboys against the TCU Horned Frogs.

It certainly isn’t a game everyone circled on their calendars as being critical to the Big 12 standings back in the dog days of August, but the Cowboys and Horned Frogs make for intriguing opponents as they each look to maintain unblemished conference records.

Teams Meeting for 33rd Time

Helping to make the collision captivating for college football bettors and fans alike is how even the series between Oklahoma State and TCU has been in recent times, the two schools splitting their last eight meetings, both on the field and at the top-rated sportsbooks.

That isn’t to imply all of the matchups have been close affairs, something last year’s 63-17 rout by the Cowboys in Stillwater definitely proved as Oklahoma State rushed for nearly 450 yards and accumulated 35 first downs in the laugher.

  • Oklahoma State has won six of the 10 meetings since TCU joined the Big 12.
  • The Horned Frogs have won three of the last four games played in Ft. Worth, covering each dubya.
  • Four of the last five matchups breached the totals.

Cowboys, Frogs Tied for 3rd in Country in Scoring

Another factor in why this game is attractive to both bettors and fans is Oklahoma State and TCU each revving up high-octane offenses, making for a game within the game as offensive coordinators Kasey Dunn and Garrett Riley have the third-highest scoring units in the country.

Spencer Sanders and the Cowboys rely more on the passing game than they do a ground attack, and why not when you have a terrific trio of wideouts like Oklahoma State does in Brayden Johnson, Brennan Pressley and Bryson Green, the Killer B’s of Stillwater.

Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs are outgaining the Cowboys by better than 50 yards per game, with the pass complementing a running game that finds TCU averaging 230 YPG, good enough for 11th in the nation, if you don’t count the option attacks at Air Force and Army.

Teams a Combined 7-2-1 ATS

Yet another aspect of this game’s fascination, especially for bettors, is that Oklahoma State and TCU are both coming off tough-fought victories in which they did not quite live up to expectations set by the NCAA football odds.

Oklahoma State didn’t secure its 41-31 win over visiting Texas Tech until late in the fourth quarter when Dominic Richardson, who scored twice in last year’s romp against TCU, bulled his way into the endzone with several Red Raiders hanging on him.

Texas Christian was ripe for a letdown coming off a big upset of Oklahoma the previous week, but the Horned Frogs didn’t let that happen in a 38-31 win up in Lawrence where they were favored by that final 7-point margin against the previously undefeated Kansas Jayhawks.

Slight Chance of Rain in Cowtown Forecast

As usual, getting an updated forecast is something all bettors will want to do before getting their bets down, as there is a 20% chance of rain in the Ft. Worth area on Saturday along with a 12-15 mph SSW breeze on an otherwise warm afternoon (86° at kickoff).

Tight Spread, Loose Total

Getting an update on injuries is also a must, though right now both teams appear to be heading into this contest pretty much at full strength, and that is part of still one more appealing feature of the matchup that is sporting a tight spread and one of the higher totals.

Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review), like most other shops, is favoring the Horned Frogs by a half-tick more than a field goal, while the scoreboard target is being listed in the 67½ - 68 range depending where one shops for their wagers.

A Final Possession Game in the Making?

That total isn’t based just on the offenses these two teams possess. Neither the Horned Frogs nor the Cowboys have shown much of an interest in playing defense, though it has been something of a ‘bend but not break’ philosophy.

This Saturday in Ft. Worth, it will be broken, maybe even burn out a few bulbs on the Amon G. Carter scoreboard. Play above the total in a final that should find both teams exceeding 35 points.

NCAAF Pick: Over 67½ (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 67½ (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.