NCAAF Week 5 Betting Previews Featuring LSU, Georgia and Arizona

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BJ Ojulari #18 of the LSU Tigers celebrates a sack during the second half of a game against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images/AFP.

Saturday evening will feature a slate of exciting matchups and below we will focus on three of them.

Let’s break it all down and keep covering the spread in our college football picks!

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LSU Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers

Saturday, October 1, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at Jordan-Hare Stadium

LSU vs. Auburn Analysis

A narrow 24-23 loss to Florida State in LSU’s opening game was their only straight-up and ATS loss thus far. Since then they have dominated with wins and ATS covers against Southern, Mississippi State, and most recently a 38-0 thumping of New Mexico.

Auburn also enters this meeting with a 3-1 straight-up mark but hasn’t been nearly as kind to those backing them with a money-burning 0-4 ATS record.

Moreover, their early season schedule hasn’t exactly been loaded with landmines as they have faced FCS entry Mercer in a 42-16 win as 30-point home chalk, followed by a 24-16 victory over lightly regarded San Jose State as 24-point home favorites, a 41-12 loss to Penn State as two-point home dogs, and lastly a 17-14 overtime win against Missouri as 7 ½ point home favorites.


LSU vs. Auburn Stats

Auburn has won and covered in the last two meetings against their SEC rivals from LSU but this time will be different.

LSU has a solid running game and we should keep that in mind when recalling all 5 touchdowns were of the rushing variety when Auburn lost to Penn State. In addition, Auburn has the 100th ranked scoring offense and is 90th in total yards.

The college football odds on this matchup show that LSU has already risen from a -7 to a -9-point favorite but there’s still one shop dealing the Tigers at -8 so we will give our business to Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review).

Predicted Score: LSU 31 - Auburn 17

NCAAF Pick: LSU -8 (-110) at Bookmaker

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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers

Saturday, October 1, 2022 - 07:30 PM EDT at Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field

Georgia vs. Missouri Analysis

The No. 1 ranked team in the nation will invade Columbia where they will take on their SEC rivals from Missouri.

Georgia has steamrolled all of their opponents this season with the lone exception being their last game in which the Bulldogs met a gritty MAC challenger in Kent State.

Georgia was installed as a 44 ½ point home favorite yet didn’t even sniff a cover after securing a 39-22 victory that saw quarterback Stetson Bennett held without a passing touchdown.

The Dawgs' rushing game racked up 257 yards, but not one runner broke the century mark. It was not a strong showing for Georgia, yet, they retained their No. 1 ranking.


Georgia vs. Missouri's Reality

There will be plenty of motivation for the Bulldogs to get it right this week and they should devour a Missouri team with virtually no offense to speak of, and a defense currently ranked 96th against the pass and 86th in points allowed.

Those numbers are particularly startling because the Tigers have played no one of consequence up to this point.

Georgia has won the last eight meetings between these teams and smoked them last season, 43-6, but failed to cover the 40 ½ point impost simply because they lost interest.

The only hope for those betting Missouri is a backdoor cover, but based on Georgia’s anemic performance last week, their grip on the top spot is tenuous and they will want to make a statement in this one.

Predicted Score: Georgia 48 - Missouri 13

NCAAF Pick: Georgia -28 (-112) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Arizona State Sun Devils vs. USC Trojans

Saturday, October 1, 2022 - 10:30 PM EDT at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Arizona State vs. USC Analysis

Arizona State has been a spectacular disappointment thus far, entering their Pac-12 matchup with USC sporting a 1-3 straight-up and ATS record. Their most lackluster effort came against Eastern Michigan two weeks ago in which the Sun Devils were installed as 20-point home chalk yet limped away with a 30-21 loss.

The Trojans came into this year with high expectations, courtesy of a stunning coaching coup in wooing Lincoln Riley to the sun-splashed climes of Southern California. So far, so good as the Trojans welcome the Sun Devils boasting a 4-0 record and rewarding their backers with a 3-1 ATS mark.

There will be a revenge factor in this one for the Trojans as they were defeated, 31-16, by ASU last season. However, USC does many things well, just nothing that will make the statisticians sit up and take notice. They are ranked 32nd in passing and rushing yards while their defense is solid, albeit unspectacular.


Arizona State vs. USC Betting Stats

There is plenty of public money on USC this year, and so far the masses have been rewarded for their blind faith in Lincoln Riley bringing this program to the promised land. Top-rated sportsbooks understand this and realize that eventually, the lines on USC will keep climbing to the point where they can no longer cover these steep numbers.

Such a case could occur this week as USC opened as 23 ½ point road favorites and that number has already swelled to 26 across the board as of this midweek writing. It wouldn’t surprise me to see it move a bit higher, but at some point the sharps will take a bite out of this inflated price.

When that point is, remains unknown, but I believe USC will be running all afternoon at a susceptible ASU run-stop unit and that will chew time off the clock and open up a possible cover for the road hounds here.

Predicted Score: USC 37 - Arizona State 17

NCAAF Pick: Arizona State +26 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.