NCAAF Week 10 Friday’s Top Picks: Can Turnaround Teams Continue on Surprise Friday

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Michael Penix Jr. #9 of the Washington Huskies throws against the UCLA Bruins. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP.

Three of college football’s biggest surprise teams so far this season will be in action on Friday night, looking to see if they can continue their unlikely run of success with wins in games that promise to be a challenge.

The Duke Blue Devils will head north to face Boston College in an ACC road game, looking to become bowl eligible.

Oregon State, ranked for the first time in nine years, will hit the road to face Washington in a Pac-12 showdown. Meanwhile, UConn stays home to face neighbor and rival UMass.

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Duke Blue Devils vs. Boston College Eagles

Friday, November 4, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at Alumni Stadium

Teams Analysis

Duke Blue Devils

After winning two and three games in the last two seasons, the final two in the tenure of longtime head coach David Cutcliffe, Duke has now matched that two-year total in its first season under Mike Elko.

The Blue Devils head to Boston College looking to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2018. Duke is currently tied with Miami for second place in the ACC Coastal Division at 5-3, 2-2 in ACC play. Boston College, meanwhile, is in last place in the ACC Atlantic at 2-6, 1-4 in conference.

Duke blew out Miami on the road its last time out, forcing eight turnovers. The Blue Devils are second in the country in turnover margin and are coming off a bye week that will help rest up several injured defensive players.

The Blue Devils are led on offense by dual-threat quarterback Riley Leonard and a group of talented running backs.

Boston College Eagles

Boston College has hit a low point in its season. Coming off back-to-back 28 point losses to Clemson and Wake Forest, the Eagles were shocked by UConn, losing 13-3.

The Eagles have been held to 20 points or less in five games this season, including the last three, and quarterback Phil Jurkovic left the UConn game in the third quarter with an apparent knee injury.

The Pick

Duke isn’t as good as it looked against Miami, and B.C. can’t be as bad as it looked last week, but even with both teams regressing to the mean, look for the Blue Devils to cover a big spread as the road favorite on top-rated sportsbooks.

NCAAF Pick: Duke -9.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Duke -9.5 (-108)
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UMass Minutemen vs. UConn Huskies

Friday, November 4, 2022 - 07:00 PM EDT at Rentschler Field

Teams Analysis

UConn Huskies

UConn will look to build on its momentum from beating New England rival Boston College for the first time in school history in an eye-raising upset by taking out another flagship school from neighboring Massachusetts. .

The Huskies host UMass on Friday night and are on a roll, winning three of their last four to move to 4-5 on the season.

It may not sound like much, but it’s the most wins for a UConn team since 2015 and matches UConn’s combined win total since 2018.

UMass Minutemen

UMass is 1-7 on the year with a win over Stony Brook as its only victory.

The Minutemen have lost five straight, and six of their seven defeats have come by double digits.

UMass has the worst offense in FBS and will face a UConn defense that has allowed 14 points per game to unranked opponents.

The Pick

Look for the Huskies to roll and move to one win away from bowl eligibility.

NCAAF Pick: UConn -15.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports

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UConn -15.5 (-108)
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Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies

Friday, November 4, 2022 - 10:30 PM EDT at Husky Stadium

Teamss Analysis

Oregon State Beavers

Oregon State has been the surprise team out west, winning three straight to move to 6-2 on the year.

The Beavers are tied with Washington for fifth place in the Pac-12 and are bowl eligible already, the earliest they’ve hit that milestone in a season since 2013.

That was also the last time that the Beavers, who moved into the AP Top 25 after a bye this past weekend, were ranked nationally.

Washington Huskies

Washington has won two straight and is also coming off of a bye.

The Oregon State defense, which has held all but one of its opponents to under 400 yards, will be tested by Washington quarterback Michael Penix, who is ranked at or near the top of the nation in most passing categories.

The Pick

Following the NCAAF odds, look for the Huskies to win at home to slow Oregon State’s run of success.

NCAAF Pick: Washington -4.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports

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Washington -4.5 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.