MACtion Tuesday NCAAF Week 11 Best Bets: Will Brett Gabbert Help Miami (OH) Beat Ohio?

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Brett Gabbert #5 of the Miami (Oh) Redhawks pitches the ball against the Kentucky Wildcats. Michael Hickey/Getty Images/AFP.

The MAC will feature 3 games on Tuesday’s Week 11 slate schedule. We’ve got the best bets at the best sportsbooks for 2 of those 3 games.

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Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Akron Zips

Tuesday, November 8, 2022 – 07:00 PM EST at InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field

The Akron Zips are just 1-8 on the season. They’re on a long losing streak and now have to face an Eastern Michigan team one game away from being bowl eligible. Akron is scoring 18.6 points per game while allowing 37 points per game. That’s dreadful! They’re still gaining more yards per game than Eastern Michigan on offense. However, the defense has given up close to 450 yards per game.

The Akron deference can get some pressure on the quarterback at times, but the coverage, run defense, and tackling have all been an issue this season. DJ Irons has started at quarterback for Akron and has a QBR of 45.4, which is below average. He’s thrown for plenty of yards but has also thrown 6 interceptions with just 9 touchdowns through 9 games.

On the other hand, Eastern Michigan isn’t getting great quarterback play either. Taylor Powell has only thrown for 1,232 yards and has a QBR of 40.2 with 7 interceptions and just 8 passing touchdowns. They’ve played Austin Smith a lot this year, but neither quarterback has been appealing.

Offensively, the Eagles earn only 204.7 yards in the air per game, but they’re balanced with 138 yards rushing per game. That’s much better than Akron’s 73.3 yards per game on the ground.

The Eagles have also been tremendous on defense. The run defense has allowed 161.9 yards per game, but they’ve been much better than that. The defense has also done well converting on tackles. However, they’ve struggled in the passing game, allowing nearly 220 yards per game in the air. The coverage and pass rush is average at best.

The Pick

I like Akron to limit turnovers against a bad Eastern Michigan secondary. With that, they’ll be able to put points on the board in the passing game.

Meanwhile, there haven’t been many teams struggling to score against Akron. The Eagles will add plenty of points. Following the NCAAF odds, I’ll take the Over 55.

NCAAF Pick: Over 55 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 55 (-110)
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Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Tuesday, November 8, 2022 - 07:30 PM EST at Yager Stadium

The Ohio Bobcats are coming into this game with a 6-3 record. They’ve won their last 4 games and are coming off a good game against Buffalo, winning 45-24 last week. On the other hand, they’ll take on a Miami (OH) group that has lost 3 of their last 5. Miami (OH) has earned fewer than 300 yards per game and has scored under 20 points per game.

Aveon Smith had been starting for the RedHawks, but it’s now back to Brett Gabbert, who had been injured after their game against Kentucky. His quarterback play will be much better. He’s completed 60.7% of passes in 3 games this year.

The defense for the RedHawks has been solid. They’ve allowed under 350 yards per game and given up under 110 yards rushing per game. The coverage has been the best portion of the defense, but the entire group has played at a high level this season.

Meanwhile, Ohio’s averaging 33.4 points per game but also giving up 33.2 points per game. Kurtis Rourke has thrown 21 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions this year. He’s also got a QBR of 68, which is way above average. The offense has averaged over 300 yards in the passing game and has earned 431.9 yards per game this season.

Still, the defense has been bad enough for Ohio. The coverage is weak, and they’ve missed so many tackles this season. Up front, Ohio’s at its best with run defense and the pass rush. But with Gabbert back at quarterback, Miami (OH) is going to start to settle in offensively now.

The Pick

Ohio’s offense has been on a tear recently, earning at least 24 points in each of its last 5 games. Meanwhile, the RedHawks added 27 points against Akron and have Gabbert back under center. He will be much more efficient for the RedHawks and should help the offense earn more than 300 yards a game moving forward.

With Ohio allowing 481.9 yards per game, I like the RedHawks’ chances of scoring plenty of points to keep up with the Bobcats.

Therefore, I’ll also take the Over 50.5 for our NCAAF picks in this matchup.

NCAAF Pick: Over 50.5 (-110) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.