Kansas vs. Kansas St. NCAAF Week 13 Betting Preview: Wildcats Look to Punch Ticket to Big 12 Championship

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Quarterback Will Howard #18 of the Kansas State Wildcats celebrates as he is carried across the field after beating the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Peter Aiken/Getty Images/AFP

In one of the final games on the Week 13 college football betting card, the collision between rivals Kansas and Kansas State will decide once and for all who goes to the Big 12 title game. 

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Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats 

Saturday, November 26, 2022 – 08:00 PM EST at Bill Snyder Family Stadium 

For those of you out there who like to cut right to the chase and not beat around the bush, the Kansas State Wildcats will beat the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday and, in the process, advance to the Big 12 Championship Game against the TCU Horned Frogs. 

The last contest to have a bearing on a Power 5 championship game, the biggest question about this matchup of Sunflower State rivals is whether or not there will be much drama prior to the final second ticking off. 

Both Teams are 7-3-1 Against the Spread 

If the numbers at top sportsbooks are any indication, the answer is no. College football bettors to get in on the action early have pushed Kansas State up to -12 on the board, and a 62½-point total suggests that while there will be some offense, it won’t necessarily be a scoreboard buster. 

KU Creamed by Texas in Latest Loss

One of life’s biggest mysteries – or at least a real head-scratcher during this college football season – is just how in the heck did the Jayhawks manage to begin the season with 5-straight wins, including in which there were victories over decent Houston and Iowa State teams. 

The latest setback was perhaps the ugliest of the five losses since then, an embarrassing 55-14 performance at home as a 9-point underdog against Texas that left us with the question was it the players or coaches – or both – who failed to adjust to the Longhorns’ ground game? 

And one final question surrounding Lance Leipold’s lads is this: Despite having already achieved the prerequisite six wins, do the Jayhawks even deserve a bowl trip if they can’t at least impress us with an upset of Kansas State? 

‘Cats Coming Off 2 Impressive Road Wins

Chris Klieman and the Wildcats also struggled to stop Bijan Robinson and the Texas rushing attack in a Week 10 clash, falling behind early and then seeing their rally effort fall short in a 34-27 defeat at home as 3-point underdogs at BetOnline. 

Kansas State put that loss quickly out of mind with a 31-3 throttling of Baylor the following week on the road and trailed that rout with another solid performance on the road this past Saturday when the Wildcats exploded for 28 points in the first quarter of a 48-31 triumph

There are conflicting reports about the status of Kansas State QB Adrian Martinez. The transfer from Nebraska reinjured his knee in the win at Baylor and didn’t play at West Virginia, some lists have Martinez day-to-day, and others insist he is done for the season. 

Will Howard has done a superb job filling in for Martinez, the junior from Pennsylvania throwing for 11 touchdowns and only two picks in his two starting assignments and two relief roles. 

K-State Chalked in 13th-Straight Meeting 

Believe it or not, there was a time when Kansas ruled this rivalry. The 31-7 win enjoyed by the Jayhawks in 1992 left them with a dominating 64-24 record over the Wildcats, plus five ties. 

It has been all Kansas State since then. The Wildcats’ 35-10 win and cover in Lawrence last season marked Kansas State’s 13th win in a row over the Jayhawks, and the 25th time in the last 29 meetings for the lads from the Little Apple to come out on top. 

  • The Wildcats romped 55-14 in the last meeting in Manhattan, the only time in the last five clashes for the final to go past the total
  • Kansas earned its last road win over Kansas State back in 2007, the Jayhawks’ only dubya in their last 15 trips to Manhattan
  • Assuming the spread holds, this will be the 10th time in the last 13 games for the NCAA football odds to favor the Wildcats by 10+ points 

Could Rain Affect the Final Score? 

Let’s safely assume Howard is under center for the Wildcats, and while he doesn’t bring a dual-threat game to the table like Martinez, Kansas State should be in good hands on offense with Deuce Vaughn and DJ Giddens handling the run game. 

Let’s also assume the Jayhawks will break down and allow the Wildcats to rip off 30+ yard gains from scrimmage at least three times. On what is going to be a cold and potentially wet evening in Manhattan, my college football pick is K-State by 15 or more. 

NCAAF Pick: Kansas State -11 (-112) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Kansas State -11 (-112)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.