Iowa State vs. Kansas State College Football Week 7 Expert Betting Analysis

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Wide receiver Malik Knowles #4 of the Kansas State Wildcats celebrates with teammates. Peter Aiken/Getty Images/AFP.

The Big 12 will be featured on Saturday night as Iowa State invades Manhattan, Kansas for a crack at their conference rivals, Kansas State. Let’s analyze this matchup and keep cashing our college football picks!

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, October 16, 2021 – 07:30 PM EDT at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium

Iowa State checks into this game, 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread, with their last performance coming last week against Kansas.

If it was a laydown opponent they were looking for after their 31-29 upset loss to Baylor, they found it in the Jayhawks. When the dust settled, the Cyclones cruised to a 59-7 thrashing of their hosts and easily covered the 34 ½ point impost.

Senior quarterback, Brock Purdy, completed over 77 percent of his passes and had four touchdowns on 245 yards passing. All four TD strikes occurred in the first quarter which set the pace for the 52-point blowout.

It was the 27th conference win for Iowa State head coach, Matt Campbell, now in his sixth season with the team, and tied the school record held by Dan McCarney who needed 11 years to get there (1996-2006). Coach Campbell's overall record with the Cyclones is 38-30, which translates to a .559 winning percentage, the highest of any Iowa State football coach in history.

Wildcats Trying to Avoid Three Straight Losses

Kansas State began its season with three consecutive wins and things looked bright as they prepared for two huge tests, the first of which was at Oklahoma State, and the second would be welcoming the high-octane University of Oklahoma Sooners to Manhattan, Kansas.

In the first half against the Cowboys, the Kansas State defense had no answers for Oklahoma State quarterback, Spencer Sanders, who completed 22-of-24 passes for 344 yards and a pair of touchdowns as well as one rushing. But it wasn’t only the aerial assault that vexed the Wildcats’ defense as they allowed senior tailback, Jaylen Warren, to run for 123 yards and end with 81 receiving yards.

In the end, the Cowboys defeated the Cats, 31-20, as K-State failed to cover as six-point road dogs.

Last week it was another quarterback named Spencer who was the cause of their undoing, but this time the Wildcats made a game of it against the No. 6 team in the nation.

Oklahoma quarterback, Spencer Rattler, was positively surgical in connecting on 22-of-25 passes for 243 yards and a pair of touchdowns, as well as one interception. But it was Kansas State’s senior quarterback that stole the show by completing 70.7 percent of his passes for 320 yards and three touchdowns.

Unfortunately for K-State fans, it wasn’t enough as the Sooners drew away to a 37-31 victory, but the Wildcats brought home the bacon for all of those who backed them as 12-point home hounds.

"We had a chance to win, had a number of opportunities," Kansas State coach Chris Klieman said. "We played for four quarters, played with great passion, and I told the guys, ‘We're a good team. We just have to believe we're a good team.'"

Wanna Make a Bet?

The college football odds at all of the best online sportsbooks are dealing Kansas State as 6 ½ point home underdogs, and we wish it were just about a half-point higher than that so we could grab the home dogs at +7.

I like the Wildcats here because they have been playing hard over the last few weeks despite the disappointing results. Consider they shut out Oklahoma State in the second half and then gave the Sooners all they could handle last week.

The Wildcats will undoubtedly have revenge on their minds for the 45-0 beating they took from the Cyclones last season. I realize Iowa State has an impressive defense, particularly their second-ranked pass defensive unit allowing just 143.2 passing yards per game.

However, Kansas State has a terrific run-stop unit, ranked sixth in the nation, which should make things rough for the Iowa State ball carriers.

I believe Kansas State’s Skylar Thompson will have a decent game against Iowa State’s stout passing defense and will keep this one within the margins. Let’s grab the points and back the home pups here.

NCAAF Pick: Kansas State +6 ½ (-104) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Kansas State +6 ½ (-104)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.