Iowa St. vs. Oklahoma St. NCAAF Week 11 Betting Preview: Will Anyone Tune In?

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Quarterback Garret Rangel #13 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys passes against the Kansas Jayhawks. Ed Zurga/Getty Images/AFP.

Buried deep on the Week 11 college football betting slate is a Big 12 collision between the Iowa State Cyclones and Oklahoma State Cowboys.

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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, November 19, 2022 – 03:30 PM EST at Boone Pickens Stadium

There are 17 games in the coveted midafternoon 3:30 p.m. time slot on Saturday, with seven teams from the latest CFP top 25 poll taking part, all of which begs the question whether anyone will tune into the matchup between Iowa State and Oklahoma State.

Other than fans of the Cyclones and Cowboys, bettors are the only other folks likely to be interested in a game that has no real meaning to the Big 12 conference race, and those bettors are having to consider a key injury on Oklahoma State’s side.

Cyclones Blow Past Mountaineers in Week 10

An 11/1 choice on the college football futures back in August, the Cyclones started the season looking like they might be the Big 12’s overachiever by virtue of reeling off three quick victories behind a defense that still ranks top 10 in both scoring and yards allowed.

That proved not to be the case, however. The 3 early wins were followed by a 5-game losing skid that sent Iowa State out of the Big 12 picture, four of those losses by a touchdown or less as the team found it difficult to put points on the board.

Iowa State stopped the 5-game losing streak last week by using a huge fourth quarter to post up a 31-14 decision over West Virginia, as the Cyclones finally got a combined effort from their offense and defense to remain in the hunt for a bowl game.

The Cyclones will need to pick up two wins in their final three games to gain bowl eligibility, and grabbing those triumphs in the next two weeks at the Cowboys and home against West Virginia would be the best route since Iowa State ends the schedule at No. 4 TCU.


Who Will Cowboys Have Under Center?

Though Oklahoma State has not been officially eliminated from the Big 12 Championship Game just yet, the Cowboys’ chances are thinner than a runway model and they will have to win out plus get a lot of help.

Mike Gundy’s biggest issue this week is figuring out who his quarterback will be. Spencer Sanders missed last week’s loss at Kansas due to a shoulder injury, and the 5th-year senior, who is second on the team in rushing, might not be back this week or at any point this season.

Garret Rangel, a freshman from across the Red River in Frisco, Texas, stepped in for Sanders and completed 27 of 40 passe for 304 yards and a couple of scores, also getting picked off three times. Gundy’s other choice is his son, redshirt freshman Gunnar Gundy.

Oklahoma State was a 3-point underdog at the top-rated sportsbooks last week, and the Cowboys were outplayed in the first half when Kansas took a 17-point lead into the locker room before finishing with a 37-16 decision.


Underdogs Cash 6 of Last 7 Meetings

This will be the 57th meeting between Iowa State and Oklahoma State, and the 20th as Big 12 opponents, and it’s the Cowboys who hold the series advantage with a 33-20 overall record (13-6 in Big 12), plus three ties.

Iowa State will be looking to make it two in a row for just the second time as Big 12 foes after the Cyclones posted a 24-21 decision in Ames a year ago, that contest turning out to be Oklahoma State’s only regular season defeat.

  • The Cowboys were +7½ on NCAA football odds the last season, marking the sixth time in seven meetings for the underdogs to cover.
  • Last year’s final stopped just shy of a 47-point total, the third consecutive meeting for the total to come up short.
  • Oklahoma State has won six of the last seven games played in Stillwater.


Mother Nature Expected to Cooperate

There is nothing in the current weather forecast to cause bettors any concern, though they’ll still want to get an update before heading to the window: Sunny skies, thermometer in the low-50s at kickoff, and a 10-15 mph crosswind breeze from the SSE.

Ride ‘Em, Cowboys

The injury to Sanders is driving the numbers and making Iowa State a slight 1½-point favorite, when we’d expect Oklahoma State to be giving up a field goal, at least, if the Cowboys had their starting quarterback on the field. Most shops are carrying 48½ for the total.

I still like the Cowboys at home with my NCAAF pick, and will play this one straight-up on the moneyline.

NCAAF Pick: Oklahoma St. ML (+105) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Oklahoma St. ML (+105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.