Indiana vs. Ohio State Top Picks: Which Buckeyes Will Show Up?

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C.J. Stroud #7 of the Ohio State Buckeyes throws a pass against the Northwestern Wildcats. Michael Reaves/Getty Images/AFP.

It’s not a question of whether No. 2 Ohio State beats Indiana on Saturday in Big Ten action but if the Buckeyes cover a big number.

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Indiana Hoosiers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes 

Saturday, November 12, 2022 – 12:00 PM EST at Ohio Stadium

FOX has the telecast of this Big Ten matchup from Columbus between the Hoosiers and No. 2 Buckeyes. Let’s be clear: Ohio State obviously is going to win. And it will win next week at Maryland, too, and then hosts No. 5 Michigan on Nov. 26 for the East Division title and a spot in the Big Ten title game.  

Last year in Bloomington, Ohio State trounced Indiana 54-7, extending the Football Bowl Subdivision's longest active winning streak against one team to 27 in a row.

CJ Stroud threw for four TDs and TreVeyon Henderson rushed for two scores and caught a TD pass. Indiana was outgained 539-128. The road team is 6-0 against the spread on the NCAAF picks in the past six meetings. 

Indiana On 6-Game Slide 

The Hoosiers (3-6) would have to win out to get bowl eligible and that’s obviously not happening. Will Coach Tom Allen survive this lousy season? Remains to be seen. IU lost its sixth straight game on Saturday, 45-14 at home to Penn State.

The Hoosiers totaled just 196 yards and gave it away three times. They went nine straight possessions at one point without a first down.  Indiana had 15 possessions, and seven were three-and-outs. IU had 11 possessions that went for fewer than 10 yards. 

"In order to move the football," Allen said, "it has to start up front. We have to do a better job in that area. It's not good enough. It's killing us. There's no magic scheme. You have to block them up front. When you block them up front, everything works better. It's about getting our playmakers the football and letting us have a chance on offense." 

IU would owe Allen $25.5 million if it fired him without cause before Dec. 1. That number would drop to $20.8 million on December 1, 2023. The buyout doesn’t reach a truly realistic figure until Dec. 1, 2024, when it falls to just under $8 million.  

Roster Changes

Starting quarterback Jack Tuttle, who announced last month he would enter the transfer portal at the end of this season, left in the second quarter with an injury following a sack. Too early to know if he will be ready here. Freshman Brendan Sorsby replaced him and was just 3-for-6 for 8 yards with a pick before he was replaced by Dexter Williams II, who threw two picks.

Connor Bazelak, a transfer from Missouri, had been Indiana's starting QB, but did not dress for the game because of an undisclosed injury. It sounds as if Bazelak will be ready for this game. 

True freshman linebacker Isaiah Jones, wide receiver Kamryn Perry, defensive lineman Venson Sneed Jr., Sorsby and linebacker Kaiden Turner made their collegiate debuts to move the season total to 13 true freshmen to appear in a game in 2022 for Allen’s club. 

Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its past seven after allowing more than 40 points in its previous game.  

Ohio State Caught In Trap 

We previewed Ohio State’s game Saturday at Northwestern here at BMR and took the 38 points on the Wildcats because we thought it might be a bit of a letdown game for the Buckeyes. Boy were we right as they only won 21-7. Weather was a factor, too.  

Quarterback CJ Stroud, the potential No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, had the worst game of his career in completing just 10-for-26 for 76 yards. Yet he retook the Heisman Trophy betting lead (+225) at BetOnline because former favorite Hendon Hooker of Tennessee (+325) also struggled in the Vols’ loss to Georgia.  

Stroud was without preseason All-American receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba and superstar running back TreVeyon Henderson due to injury.

Not clear if they will play here, JSN has been hurt pretty much all year and on and off the field and may just decide to stop playing college football and prepare for the NFL Draft. Miyan Williams rushed for 111 yards and two scores vs. the Wildcats in Henderson’s place.  

New Record

It was Ohio State’s 70th consecutive game with at least 20 points, marking a new all-time FBS record. The Buckeyes had scored at least 40 in seven in a row, a Big Ten record.

Ohio State’s last game without scoring at least 20 points came in the 2017 season: a 31-16 loss to Oklahoma at Ohio Stadium. 

Starting cornerback Cameron Brown also was out, the fifth game he's missed in 2022. The Buckeyes are +250 second favorites behind Georgia to win the national title.  

I think Ohio State is just a bit bored right now and looking ahead to the Michigan game. So, following the NCAAF odds, I’ll take all those points. Something like a 45-17 final score. Indiana has covered its past six in Columbus.  

NCAAF Pick: Over 57.5 Points (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 57.5 Points (-110)
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NCAAF Pick: Indiana +40.5 (-110) at BetOnline 

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Indiana +40.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.