The SEC is easily the strongest conference in college football. While the depth of the conference helps, the main reason why it is the best is that it has the two best teams in the country.
Georgia and Alabama seem to be destined to face off in another SEC Championship game, but there is still plenty of the regular season to play. Georgia has been a great team against quality opponents, but they still have to remain consistent if they want to win a national championship this season.
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers
Saturday, October 09, 2021 – 03:30 PM EDT at Jordan-Hare Stadium
Georgia’s next test will be against their main rival from the SEC West. The Bulldogs will travel to play the Auburn Tigers in Jordan-Hare Stadium. Auburn is coming off an emotional road victory against the LSU Tigers, and they will be motivated to pull off the upset as they still control their own destiny in the greater picture.
Despite playing on the road, Georgia remains the heavy favorite. The NCAAF odds are currently listed at Georgia -14.5. Can they cover such a lofty spread on the road? Here are keys for both teams to cover the spread and an NCAAF pick.
Keys for Georgia to Cover the Spread
The Georgia defense has been the best in the country this year, and that has led them to victory in many games. They have one of the best fronts in college football, and they need to dominate the line of scrimmage. That will force Bo Nix to play in chaos, which rarely works for the Tigers.
Nix has done a better job of avoiding bad turnovers this year, but this will be the toughest test he sees. Georgia will need to hurry him into bad choices in hopes of forcing turnovers. This is likely, but it still must be done. Georgia needs a good field position on offense, and the best way to do that is to force turnovers early in drives.
On offense, the real question is who will start. JT Daniels is the guy, but he missed the last game because of an injury. While the offense played well when they ran the ball, Stetson Bennett will not be able to carry the Bulldogs to a dominant victory. Georgia will either need Daniels to play or for the run game to dominate. Either way, they have a chance to cover the spread.
Keys for Auburn to Cover the Spread
On offense, Auburn needs balance. Bo Nix has been inconsistent all season. He can either be the catalyst that makes everything work or the mistake that keeps the Tigers from thriving.
Either way, they will give him a chance to take over this game. He needs to at least do enough to keep the defense honest. He doesn’t have to have a Heisman performance thanks to Tank Bigsby in the backfield, but he does need to play efficiently to provide balance on offense.
On defense, expect the Tigers to stack the box. They have to nullify Georgia’s run game. If they don’t they have no chance of winning this game. Auburn has seen some crazy plays go their way at home over the years.
To win this game outright, they need one or two of those plays on Saturday. To cover the spread, they just need to avoid turnovers and excess penalties. This will keep it close until the final quarter, which should be enough for Auburn to cover the spread.
What Is the Best Pick?
Auburn has played well so far this season, but that doesn’t mean they will win this game. They have momentum, which helps. If they were playing on the road, they would have no shot of covering this spread. Expect Bo Nix to make enough plays to make this one interesting.
While Georgia will likely win, I believe Auburn will find a way to cover the spread. Georgia’s offense is not explosive, so it will be hard for them to cover if Auburn scores a few touchdowns. This will be one of the best games of the week. WIth SEC Championship implications, expect Auburn to barely lose at home against their bitter rival.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.