Georgia State vs. Ball State Camellia Bowl Best Bets and Odds Analysis

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Quarterback Darren Grainger #3 of the Georgia State Panthers. Michael Chang/Getty Images/AFP

Georgia State will take on Ball State in the Camellia Bowl on Christmas Day in what is shaping up to be an evenly matched contest. But is it really and is there one side that is worth a wager? Let’s find out which team is poised to get the cover and keep cashing our college football picks!

Georgia State Panthers vs. Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, December 25, 2021 – 2:30 PM EST at Cramton Bowl

The Georgia State Panthers have plenty of mojos as they head into their Christmas clash with the Cardinals of Ball State. The Panthers have won six of their last seven games by an average margin of 15 points as the offense has caught fire under the relentless rushing attack, ranked eighth in the nation, led by Tucker Gregg and Jamyest Williams.

In Georgia State’s final game of the season, the dynamic rushing duo combined for 191 of the team’s 247 rushing yards while quarterback Darren Grainger tossed a pair of touchdown passes in the Panthers’ 33-10 victory over Troy as 6 ½ point home chalk. The defense was also smothering as they limited the Trojans to only 57 rushing yards and had five sacks to go along with a pair of interceptions.

Cardinals Shuffle off Buffalo

After Ball State’s 37-17 loss to Central Michigan in the penultimate game of their regular season, things looked grim and a bowl date was tenuous at best. However, after dropping three of their last four contests before their final game against Buffalo, they recouped enough to get a stellar effort from their defense and did just enough offensively to claim a 20-3 decision. The Cardinals got the easy cover for all those who never lost faith and laid the six points with the home favorite.

One of the keys to the Cardinals' victory over Buffalo was limiting their ground game. Before the game Ball State linebacker, Brandon Martin, said, "We take pride in stopping the run. Obviously, looking back at Central (Michigan) we didn’t do that effectively, but the biggest thing is being able to go back and look at what we did wrong and how we can fix that because all of these all these coaches in our conference and players in our conference are smart, they’re going to try to do what you gave you a little bit of trouble the week before."

And while Ball State did many things right, they didn’t live up to those lofty expectations Martin had in mind as Buffalo would end the day with 148 rushing yards but to Ball State’s credit, they kept Buffalo out of the end zone so that is undoubtedly a defensive triumph for the Cardinals.

Wanna Make a Bet?

The college football odds at all of the best online sportsbooks are installing Georgia State as 4 ½ point neutral-site favorites, and for good reason. First and foremost, we must look at Ball State’s victory over Buffalo with a bit of suspicion.

The Cardinals had four picks in that game and led 17-3 at the half. They scored only three more points in the entire game and while the defense should be lauded, their offense is of serious concern against a Panthers’ team that owns a decent run-stop unit. If the Cardinals can’t run then they better be able to pass and they’re not particularly good at that.

But the big advantage Georgia State has is their impressive rushing attack, averaging 225.4 yards per game against a Ball State run defense that is ranked 92nd in the nation, surrendering 169.8 yards per game.

That’s the ball game right there and don’t think for a moment that Ball State’s secondary will have anywhere close to four picks against Georgia State’s quarterback, Darren Grainger, as he’s tossed only four interceptions all season. Lay the lumber and watch the Panthers win this one by double digits.

NCAAF Pick: Georgia State -4 ½ (-110) with Bovada (Visit our Bovada Review)

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Georgia State -4 ½ (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.