The first ranked team in action in college football’s Week 10 is No. 24 Louisiana on Thursday as it hosts Georgia State in Sun Belt action. Below, we’ll take a look at the early NCAAF odds and the best sportsbook to bet with this week.
Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
Thursday, November 04, 2021 – 07:30 PM EDT at Cajun Field
It’s a potential preview of the Sun Belt Conference title game on Thursday night this week – the lone Thursday NCAA game, although there are some on Tuesday and Wednesday, too – as Georgia State visits No. 24 Louisiana. The Ragin’ Cajuns are locked to win the Sun Belt’s West Division as they have a three-game lead. Georgia State is in a three-way tie for first in the East Division with Appalachian State and Coastal Carolina.
The Panthers haven’t been an FBS program all that long so they have only faced Louisiana five times and the Ragin’ Cajuns won them all. Last year, Louisiana was a 17-point road favorite at BMR’s top-rated books and escaped Georgia State 34-31 in overtime.
Elijah Mitchell rushed for 164 yards and the winning TD in overtime for the Cajuns – he’s now with the 49ers. Levi Lewis threw for 279 yards and two scores but was picked twice. Dustin Coates rushed for 150 yards and a TD for Georgia State, while Cornelius Brown IV threw for 196 yards and a TD with a pick. Georgia State has never beaten a ranked school. The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the five meetings in this series.
Panthers Largely Live on Ground
Georgia State (4-4, 3-1 Sun Belt) won its third straight game on Saturday, beating rival Georgia Southern 21-14. Jamyest Williams scored on a 23-yard run with 26 seconds remaining. He finished with 97 yards on 12 carries and Tucker Gregg rushed for two scores and 87 yards on 16 carries – this is definitely a run-heavy club as it ranks 16th nationally in rushing for 220.1 yards per game. The Panthers have had achieved three of the top nine rushing games in program history in the last six games.
“I think that is probably one of the most exciting [touchdowns],” Williams said about his score. “It was just really good to come down and do that in that environment; it was just a blessing.”
Darren Grainger completed 16 of 27 passes for 141 yards and rushed 10 times for 31 yards in the win over Georgia Southern. Receiver Cornelius McCoy missed the game with a hamstring injury that has bothered most of the season. He was an honorable mention all-Sun Belt Conference selection last season and has seven catches for 56 yards this year.
If this game comes down to a possible field-goal attempt for Georgia State, that’s a good thing because kicker Noel Ruiz had 363 career points, fifth-most among all active FBS players. His 56 made field goals are No. 8 among active FBS kickers. The Panthers are 6-1 against the spread on the NCAAF picks in their past seven Sun Belt games.
Cajuns QB Breaks School Record
No. 24 Louisiana (7-1, 5-0 Sun Belt) got back into the Associated Press Top 25 on Sunday following a 45-0 blowout win on homecoming Saturday over Texas State. The win improved the Ragin' Cajuns to 15-0 against Sun Belt West Division opponents under head coach Billy Napier. The shutout was Louisiana’s first since beating Lamar 40-0 in September 2012.
Quarterback Levi Lewis completed 22 of 32 for 228 yards and three scores. He now has 65 career TD throws, passing Louisiana legend Jake Delhomme for the most in school history. Louisiana is 17-3 under Lewis when he throws for at least 200 yards and 19-1 when he has thrown for more than two TDs.
Freshman running back Emani Bailey missed the Texas State game with a lower-body injury and it’s not clear if he will play in this one. He has rushed 45 times for 310 yards and three scores as part of a three-headed backfield with Chris Smith (98 carries, 621 yards, eight TDs) and Montrell Johnson (86 carries, 512 yards, seven TDs). Smith is one of nine players in the country to rush for over 230 yards in a game this season.
Louisiana shouldn’t have much trouble running against a Georgia State defense that allows 169.8 yards on the ground per game. The Cajuns allow 151.3 per game. When Louisiana scores more than 30 points, it is 3-0 ATS and 3-0 overall. Georgia State is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in the four games in which it allowed at least 30 this year.
For your college football picks, have the Ragin’ Cajuns winning by 17 so we will give the points. They are 5-2 ATS in their past seven Thursday games.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.