The mid-afternoon games in Week 4 have our full attention as we look for where the value might be on the NCAA football odds for a trio of contests involving teams from the Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, September 24, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Spartan Stadium
Following two comfortable wins over teams from the Mid-American Conference, Mel Tucker took his Michigan State squad on the road to face a Power 5 team, and the result was not good as the Spartans returned home after a sound whipping by the Washington Huskies.
That loss sent the Spartans spiraling down in the coaches poll, and all the way out of the AP rankings, as they prepare to open Big Ten play against a Minnesota Golden Gophers team that will be facing its first real test of the 2022 schedule.
Chalk Swings From Spartans to Gophers
We have already seen some substantial line movement in the short time that the line has been out, Michigan State initially sent out as 2-point chalk and now showing up at top-rated sportsbooks as a 2-point underdog with 51-51½ for the total.
Can Minny Remain Undefeated?
I don’t care who you play; it is still impressive to begin a season 3-0 with an average margin of victory of more than 40 points like PJ Fleck’s bunch has done after shellacking Colorado 49-7 a week ago.
All three win came at home, however, so this will be the Golden Gophers’ first taste of a hostile environment, and they might have to do it without their leading receiver the last two seasons Chris Autman-Bell (knee) who left the win over Colorado in the second quarter.
State Must Avoid Another Slow Start
While the 39-28 loss on the road as small underdogs might not seem so bad, that 11-point margin masks the fact the Spartans trailed 22-0 early and cut into Washington’s lead with a couple of late garbage touchdowns.
Possible Rain in Forecast
The weatherman says there’s a slight chance for rain on Saturday, so bettors need to check that out before laying their money down.
I’m a Fleck fan and like the Golden Gophers, but like the total going past the mark even more for my free college football pick in a 31-28 final for one team or the other.
Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Saturday, September 24, 2022 - 03:30 PM EDT at Jones AT&T Stadium
If I had my druthers, a Wizard of Oz twister would come through Lubbock this Saturday afternoon and carry the stadium along with the Texas Longhorns and Texas Tech Red Raiders up and out of the friendly confines of the Lone Star State.
Hot & Windy is Gametime Forecast
It is going to be breezy come kickoff for the Longhorns and Red Raiders, but not that breezy with the 15-20 mph SW blow at least strong enough to play into the contest that finds BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) favoring Texas by 5 with 60 for the scoreboard target.
Longhorns Focused, Raiders Banged Up
This is the conference opener for both teams, and Texas comes in having avoided a big letdown with a 41-20 win and cover over UTSA after its strong showing against Alabama in Week 2 while Texas Tech returns home from a lackluster loss at NC State last week.
The Longhorns have covered four of their last five trips up to the South Plains, and they should make it five out of six in a 34-27 final score.
NCAAF Pick: Texas -4½ (-108) at Heritage Sports
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Saturday, September 24, 2022 - 04:00 PM EDT at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
From a couple of mid-afternoon conference matchups to the last nonconference game on the Ole Miss schedule, and the Rebels are showing up as hefty 20-point favorites for their home clash with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane.
Could Rebels Get Caught in Look-Ahead Spot?
If Ole Miss plays as well at home this week as it did on the road at Georgia Tech last week, Lane Kiffin’s team should have no problem moving to 4-0 on the campaign just in front of the conference opener against Kentucky.
In fact, keeping his Rebels from looking ahead to that matchup with the Wildcats might be Kiffin’s toughest job as he prepares his squad to face a Tulsa team that is playing with house money, and coming off wins over Northern Illinois of the MAC and Jacksonville State of the FCS.
The Rebels are listing slot receiver Jaylon Robinson as day-to-day with an undisclosed injury; the transfer from Central Florida has played sparingly this year, so that shouldn’t be a huge concern, at least nothing that should affect the Rebels winning and covering in a 42-17 final.
NCAAF Pick: Ole Miss -20 (-108) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.