There has been line movement within the last week, but here are two games with a lot of value going into Saturday. Let’s see the NCAAF odds.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Saturday, September 18, 2021 – 03:30 PM EDT at Truist Field
Florida State has allowed 30.5 points per game and just lost to Jacksonville State on their home floor. They’re now 0-2 on the season with losses to Notre Dame and, of course, Jacksonville State. They’ve got a solid offense but the defense has been miserable, giving up nearly 400 yards of offense per game this season.
On the other hand, Wake Forest is 2-0 with wins against minor competition like Old Dominion and Norfolk State. Still, they’ve done what they’re supposed to and averaged 41.5 points per game while allowing just 13 points per game.
Wake Forest is led by a veteran college quarterback in Sam Hartman and he’s thrown for four touchdowns and no interceptions so far this season. The running game has also been effective with Christian Beal-Smith averaging 6.7 yards per carry with three touchdowns on 20 attempts.
McKenzie Milton got the start for Florida State last week thanks to his feel-good story the week before. However, he was terrible with 18 completions on 31 attempts. His QBR was 14.9 and that was against Jacksonville State.
At home, Wake Forest is just 4.5 point favorites against a Florida State team that just can’t figure it out on either end of the field consistently. This has been going on for years now at Florida State and it doesn’t seem like adding a new coach or a new quarterback has done the trick.
Wake Forest is underrated this season and they’ll be at home against an 0-2 Florida State team. This could be a 21-point blowout. If you’re looking for a safe NCAAF pick, there’s value on Wake.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Brigham Young Cougars
Saturday, September 18, 2021 - 10:15 PM EDT at LaVell Edwards Stadium
I’ve got another late-night game that has some value. You might not stay up and watch it, but you can wake up, check your best sportsbooks, and cash in.
BYU will take on Arizona State in a Top-25 clash at BYU. This will be the first meeting between the two teams since 1998. Currently, Arizona State is a 3.5 point favorite, and to be fair, Arizona State struggled early against UNLV.
UNLV hung around in the first half and then Arizona State finally put their foot on the gas. If they fall behind against BYU early, Arizona State won’t be able to just put their foot on the gas. Utah experienced this last week.
I’m aware Zach Wilson is no longer with BYU but so far Jaren Hall has been just fine with five touchdowns and no interceptions in two games. Meanwhile, for Arizona State, it’s been the Jayden Daniels show as he leads in passing and rushing for the team.
Against Top 25 teams, he’ll need more help on the offensive end and I’m not so sure he’ll get it. BYU has allowed just 16.5 points per game against Arizona and Utah. They’ve been a little bit more battle-tested than Arizona State. BYU as underdogs, at home? Sign me up.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.