College Football Week 1 Last Chance Value Picks

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Quarterback Carson Strong #12 of the Nevada Wolf Pack. Ethan Miller/Getty Images/AFP

If you’re looking for some action for Week 1 in college football, you’ve come to the right place. I’m not going to sit here and guarantee winners. That would be silly. But I’ll do my best to point out the most valuable betting options on the slate that are still available a day before the games. Right now, first half wagers seem to have the most value. It’s about picking on new quarterbacks in systems they’re not comfortable with just yet.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. California Golden Bears

Saturday, September 04, 2021 – 10:30 PM EDT at FTX Field

There’s so much talk about Nevada being unable to practice well. Due to wildfires in Northern California, Nevada has looked for safe places to practice between indoor basketball courts on campus to trips to Stanford’s football field. All of this might seem bad but I look at it as good. This team has likely gained plenty of chemistry and have become really close with one another through all of this. They’ve practiced in seven venues and traveled over 2,000 miles since training camp started.

This is exactly what Carson Strong, Nevada’s quarterback explained to ESPN earlier this week. “You’re playing cards, you’re doing rookie shows. You’re just around each other all the time,” he said. “I think it’s been good. There’s no distractions out there. We’re just focusing on football. So I think it’s been overall good for us.” This is a team bringing back all 11 starters on offense from last season. This offense averaged 31 points per game with Strong throwing for 27 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Why not take the Wolf Pack to win the first half, -.5 in the first half at +144 odds. For my NCAAF picks, there’s so much value there against California.

NCAAF Pick: Nevada -.5 First Half +144 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Nevada -.5 First Half +144
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Michigan State Spartans vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Friday, September 03, 2021 - 09:00 PM EDT at Ryan Field

Everyone is down on Michigan State this year. It makes sense. Last year was miserable in head coach Mel Tucker’s first season. But they still found a way to beat Northwestern, 29-20 in East Lansing. The team has brought in a grad transfer in Anthony Russo who has thrown for a career 6,287 yards passing with 44 touchdowns and 32 interceptions. The man has nearly 900 attempts passing in college football and plenty of experience.

The reality is, he’s going to get to play with more talented players in comparison to his time at Temple. On the other side, Northwestern will debut Hunter Johnson at quarterback. How will he perform in his first opportunity under center with Northwestern? It seems like Michigan State legitimately has a good game plan against Northwestern.

The offense has never been incredible, it’s just been good enough. The defense is what wins them games. If Russo and Michigan State find offense early, they’ll go into half time with the lead. Why not grab Michigan State -1.5 at +138 in the first half? Seems like a bargain.

NCAAF Pick: Michigan State -1.5 First Half +138 with BetOnline

Michigan State -1.5 First Half +138
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.