NCAAF Week 2 Last Chance Value Picks: Tennessee vs. Pittsburgh and Arkansas Hosts South Carolina

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Kedon Slovis #9 of the Pittsburgh Panthers is sacked by Jared Bartlett #10 of the West Virginia Mountaineers in the first quarter during the game at Acrisure Stadium. Justin Berl/Getty Images/AFP

That was fun last week, let’s do it again! It was so wonderful to have a full list of college football odds and to be able to pick and choose who we liked.

Let’s move ahead to Week 2 and see who stands out for college football picks having the most value.

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South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 10, 2022 – 12:00 PM EDT at Razorback Stadium

Arkansas had an overall impressive performance in knocking off Cincinnati, and this week has its SEC home opener against South Carolina. The Razorbacks' offense could hardly be any more balanced last Saturday with 224 yards rushing and 223 yards passing.

South Carolina had a misleading 35-14 victory over Georgia State as 12.5-point home favorites. The Gamecocks only had a 20-14 lead in the second half but had two blocked punts for touchdowns.

Oklahoma transfer quarterback Spencer Rattler had two interceptions and looked similar to why he was benched last year. Also, South Carolina only rushed for 79 yards while allowing 200 versus Georgia State, and as we know, the Hogs are dramatically more physical.

South Carolina vs. Arkansas: Our Betting Pick

We get added value against the betting odds knowing Arkansas has covered six straight September starts and is on a 10-2 ATS run the first of the season the past few years.

NCAAF Pick: Arkansas -8 (-110) at Bookmaker (visit our BookMaker Review)

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Arkansas -8 (-110)
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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, September 10, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Normally, we would probably be inclined to take a Sun Belt team with the points facing a squad from the MAC. Not this time, however.

Central Michigan never quit fighting against Oklahoma State on the road scoring 22 points in the four quarters to close the gap to 58-44 to cover the +20.5 points.

Though a loss is a loss, sometimes that kind of effort can turn into a positive, especially playing at home.

South Alabama vs. Central Michigan: Our Betting Pick

Ignore South Alabama's 48-7 thumping of Nicholls State, the Jaguars were picked 11th at the sportsbooks to win the Sun Belt before the season.

Central Michigan Coach Jim McElwain is a brilliant offensive mind and his team will keep the pressure on opposing defenses. McElwain and CMU are 10-1 ATS after playing a game where 60 or more total points were scored, while South Alabama has failed to cover its past six road assignments.

NCAAF Pick: Central Michigan -5 (-108) at Bookmaker

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Central Michigan -5 (-108)
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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, September 10, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Acrisure Stadium

Tennessee and Pittsburgh both opened with winners, though the Vols had the far easier opponent facing Ball State, compared to the Panthers taking on West Virginia in a long-awaited rivalry confrontation.

Both offenses played well and looked like they would score points all season. Pitt allowed 190 yards rushing to the Mountaineers, which has to be concerning because Tennessee’s offense is based on the run under coach Josh Heupel and playing fast to set up the pass.

There is a lot of early conjecture about Tennessee being an initial 6.5-point road favorite and bumped up to -7 Monday afternoon, meaning they would be -10 or -11 at a neutral bowl site currently. However, when you consider what looks to be a significant difference between the two conferences top to bottom, maybe it is not as far off as it seems.

Tennessee vs. Pittsburgh: Our Betting Pick

Pitt won in Knoxville last year 41-34 as a 3.5-point road favorite, mostly due to having a 3-0 turnover edge. Conference affiliations aside, we cannot help but wonder, have these teams changed so much that Pittsburgh goes from a 3.5-point road fave and a year later they are almost a touchdown home underdog?

We don’t think so, especially with how QB Kedon Slovis looked. We’ll agree Tennessee wins the game, but just by three or four points, with the Volunteers being 0-6 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more.

NCAAF Pick: Pittsburgh +6.5 (-110) at Bookmaker

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Pittsburgh +6.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.