Each week at Bookmakers Review we select our top moneyline, total, and ATS college football picks as we look to crush our bookmakers. Let’s go for the sweep this Saturday and make some serious cash, so let’s dive into the NCAAF odds for Saturday!
Iowa vs. Wisconsin
Saturday, October 30, 2021 – 12:00 PM EDT at Camp Randall Stadium
No. 9 Iowa is fresh off of their first loss of the season, a 24-7 setback to Purdue. It was a stunning defeat, to say the least, as the Hawkeyes had become the darlings of college football bettors, having won all six games, and cashing in five, until they met the Boilermakers two weeks ago. And suddenly, as 11-point home chalk, their undefeated season came to an abrupt end.
But now, coming off of their bye and having a few weeks to think about their loss and lick their wounds, they travel to Madison where their 4-3 conference rivals have been installed as 3-point betting favorites. And lo and behold, who did the Badgers defeat, 30-14, last week you might ask? The Boilermakers, of course, and in their own sandbox!
Thus, the conventional wisdom goes along the lines that Iowa lost to the team that Wisconsin spanked, and knowing these things are “always” correlated, Wisconsin should be the favorites. Makes sense, right? Only if you are a stone-cold square.
Iowa had a lousy game as evidenced by Iowa’s quarterback Spencer Petras’ four interceptions and zero touchdowns. The defense was equally as dismal, allowing 378 passing yards, the most in five years, and lost their fourth game in five meetings with Purdue.
Despite Wisconsin having won seven of their last nine meetings against Iowa, it should be noted last year was a Hawkeyes’ victory and the same will occur here. Iowa has an opportunistic defense and once its offense gets revved up, it will dictate the pace and flow of this game.
The oddsmakers have the wrong favorite installed here so let’s eschew the three-point head start and grab the juice that the books are giving us to bet the Hawkeyes for an outright win.
Florida State vs. Clemson
Saturday, October 30, 2021 - 3:30 PM ET at Memorial Stadium
Clemson’s precipitous fall from grace has been a wonder to behold if you are a fan of any other ACC team. The Tigers have ruled the conference for years and their appearance in the CFP is almost a foregone conclusion.
But not this season as they are a stunning 4-3 straight up and a hellacious 0-7 against the spread. But that doesn’t seem to deter the betting public who is chasing their collective tail betting Clemson because of the due factor – they’re due to cover at some point, right?!
Well, that’s why squares go broke. They keep believing this iteration somehow resembles last year’s squad even though Clemson’s ace in the hole, Trevor Lawrence is playing for the NFL’s Jaguars this year. According to the college football odds, the Tigers are 10-point home favorites over the Seminoles and it defies logic as to why - other than Clemson is a household name and the masses keep sending it in on them.
Well, we will gladly take advantage of the bookmakers’ largesse and grab the 10 points with the visitors in this one.
Kansas vs. Oklahoma State
Saturday, October 30, 2021 - 7:00 PM ET at Boone Pickens Stadium
Let’s understand there will be no stunning upset in this one. Kansas will lose their seventh game of the year while Oklahoma State will go to 7-1 on the season. You can take that to the bank. But whether the Cowboys will cover the 30.5 point impost is another subject but it’s fair to say that they will win by double digits.
What concerns us, in this matchup, is the total. We should note that the Jayhawks limited one of the most prolific offenses to 35 points last week. Not exactly a lockdown, shutdown performance, I know, but the Sooners score nearly 42 points per game so, by those standards, the Kansas defense did as well as could be expected.
Oklahoma State is a team that gets the job done with a solid defense, allowing 20.1 points per game and ranked 30th in the nation. Therefore, don’t expect Kansas to score very much on Saturday. As for their offense, the Cowboys are rather pedestrian on that side of the ball, averaging only 25.7 points per game. That’s not a lot and even though the Jayhawks defense isn’t as good, do you think that this game has any chance of going over 55? I don’t – go low for our last NCAA pick.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.