We are five weeks deep in the college football season, and plenty of craziness has already happened. The Clemson Tigers are out of the AP Top 25. Three of last year’s four College Football Playoff teams already have at least one loss, and other top teams have struggled significantly.
This has happened in lackluster games. In the most surprising weeks, teams have lost in an embarrassing fashion. That makes a week like Week 6 exciting. There is plenty to watch this week. Alabama travels to College Station to play the Aggies. Iowa and Penn State will face off in a battle of unbeaten teams. Texas looks to upset the Oklahoma Sooners. There are plenty of rivalry games and top-tier matchups.
Some upsets are bound to happen this Saturday. Even if they don’t, plenty of great teams will lose to other great teams. This week will play a pivotal role in the College Football Playoff picture, and we’ll have a better idea of who the contenders are. Here are the best NCAAF picks for the upcoming slate of games. We’ll make a pick of every type.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Saturday, October 9, 2021 – 7:30 PM EDT at Memorial Stadium
Michigan has struggled consistently since hiring Jim Harbaugh, and he came into this year on the hot seat. However, the Wolverines have had one of the best teams in the Big Ten. Their passing game has been lackluster at best, but their solid run game and defense have carried them to a 5-0 start.
Nebraska is 3-3, but they have had some respectable losses. They’ve kept games close, but they have yet to finish against the top-ranked teams. Unless the passing game carries the Cornhuskers, the Wolverines should win this game on the road.
It may be close, but Michigan should pull away late. With this type of spread, you are expecting it to come down to who scores touchdowns and who has to kick field goals. Michigan will do a better job of executing in the red zone thanks to their running attack. Because of this, expect them to win by at least four points despite playing away from home.
Nebraska has what it takes to win, but they’ve yet to prove that they can beat the Wolverines or keep it within a field goal.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Saturday, October 9, 2021 - 8:00 PM EDT at Kyle Field
Alabama has one of the best offenses in the country, so it is safe to assume that they will score their points in this one. In general, they are likely to hit the over. However, there are a few reasons why this has a chance of hitting the under.
First off, Texas A&M’s offense has been lackluster in recent weeks. Question marks at quarterback are the reason why they have lost their past two games. Also, Alabama’s defense improved their execution against the Ole Miss Rebels last week. Even if they play on the road, they should hold the Aggies to 14 points or fewer.
While Alabama’s offense is electric, they prefer to run the ball. This chews the clock and limits the total number of drives. Even if Alabama scores on almost every drive, this has a chance of hitting the under.
These games are hard to predict, but Alabama’s defense should be ready to dominate. Unless the Tide score 45 points, the under should hit. Now, let’s look at the money line.
NCAAF Pick: Texas A&M u51.5 (-110) with BetOnline
Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday, October 9, 2021 - 12:00 PM EDT at the Cotton Bowl
This is a value play. Texas lost a lot of credit after losing to Arkansas, but they’ve been a solid team all season. Their offense has improved thanks to Bijan Robinson’s usage, and Steve Sarkisian has carried the Longhorns to the next level.
Oklahoma is the better team on paper, but they have struggled to execute all season. Against a bitter rival at a neutral site, that won’t get any easier on Saturday. Spencer Rattler hasn’t looked like a Heisman candidate all year, and the rest of what makes Oklahoma good has crumbled.
Oklahoma has barely beaten so many teams, but they have yet to play someone as good as Texas. It’s now or never for the Sooners, and it’s easy to imagine that they fail to win this game at all.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.