Best Moneyline, ATS, and Over/Under Bets for College Football Week 4

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Fans of the Arkansas Razorbacks. Wesley Hitt/Getty Images/AFP

The third week of college football taught us plenty about the nation’s top teams. Alabama has weaknesses, but they can still win gritty games. While other blue-blood programs won, it remains clear that Clemson, Oklahoma, and Ohio State have a lot of work to do before they reach the College Football Playoff. If they don’t improve, they would get torched by other top programs.

We have this information, but we’re still expecting things to change. Will Georgia’s offense continue to improve? Is Iowa genuinely one of the best teams in college football? Will Ohio State get the offense on track before they face another tough opponent?

As we try to answer these questions, let’s look at some of the best bets for the upcoming week of college football. This takes the hindsight provided from the season so far, but it also takes some guessing as to how teams will respond. Here is a pick of every type for the upcoming slate of games. Let’s start with the traditional NCAAF odds to cover the spread.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers

Saturday, Sept 25, 2021 -12:00 PM EDT at Davis Wade Stadium

Mississippi State will be playing at home against the LSU Tigers, meaning that the cowbells will be in full force. The Bulldogs have struggled so far this year, but so have the Tigers. LSU lost to UCLA, a team that has since lost an embarrassing game. While Mississippi State lost to Memphis, that game had fixable errors.

Mississippi State has an explosive passing offense, but they remain inconsistent. Will Rogers has had his highs and lows. Still, his highs are more than enough to keep it close against LSU. The Bulldogs proved that they can contend with the LSU Tigers when they beat them on the road in 2020. This season, they would need another shootout. That is within the realm of possibility, which is why I like the value for the Bulldogs.

Most spread bets start at -108. Making this -105 keeps you from having to risk excess money, and you still have a field goal to work with in terms of the spread. The Bulldogs can barely lose and still pay out the spread.

NCAAF Pick: Mississippi State +3 (-110 ) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Mississippi State +3 (-110 )
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Now, let’s look at some over/under value for Week 4 in college football.

Clemson Tigers vs. NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, Sept 25, 2021 - 3:30 PM EDT at Carter-Finley Stadium

In the past, Clemson might score 47 on their own in this game. However, things have changed so far this season. They are averaging 8 points per game against Power 5 opponents. All season, D.J. Uiagalelei has only one passing touchdown all season, and the offense has essentially no consistent run game. They can make a few plays, but it won’t be enough to torch the Wolfpack. However, Clemson has an elite defense. It is the only reason they beat Georgia Tech last week. That will keep this one low-scoring.

Neither team averages 47 combined points per game this year, and this will likely be a drag-out fight in Raleigh. This will be the first true road game for Clemson this year, and the environment will be stifling. Expect mistakes from Clemson on offense, and few points allowed on defense. That will make this game likely to hit the under.

Clemson has the potential to run away with this, but that potential has yet to turn into production this season. Don’t expect that to change in this game, meaning the under will likely hit once again.

NCAAF Pick: NC State Under 47 (-108) with Bovada

NC State Under 47 (-108)
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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Saturday, Sept. 25, 2021 - 3:30 PM EDT at AT&T Stadium

Arkansas has looked incredibly solid this year thanks to their stout defense and potent offense. They’ve proven against Texas that they can win the tough games. However, this will be their toughest test so far this season. Texas A&M has played well, but they’ve only played against one team in the Power 5. They only beat Colorado by a field goal, and their offense could not move in that game.

This game will be played at a neutral site, and there is a history of craziness in Jerry World. While I expect Texas A&M to win, the value of the Arkansas money line is too good to pass up. They can win in a gritty game, but their offense is good enough to win if the tempo increases. It’s not a lock, but it is great value for the rising Razorbacks.

NCAAF Pick: Arkansas (+185) with Bovada

Arkansas (+185)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.