Every week we scour the NCAAF odds board to find the best money line, total, and ATS college football picks to get the sharpest numbers using the best online sportsbooks found right here at Bookmakers Review. Last week we connected with Ohio State -20, Ole Miss +120, but missed on the under in the West Virginia/K State game. Let’s sweep this week!
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Track
Saturday, November 20, 2021 – 12:00 PM EST at Beaver Stadium
A quick perusal of the college football odds tells us that the Nittany Lions are being installed as 17 ½ home chalk across the board after their heartbreaking, 21-17, loss to Michigan last week. Of course, it would stand to reason that they would want to take out their frustration this week in a lesser light in Rutgers, thus the 17 ½ point spread.
However, Rutgers is not to be taken lightly as their offense might leave something to be desired but their defense has allowed only 22.7 points per game while the Penn State offense is averaging just 26.4 PPG. This will not be a one-sided contest as the Lions could very well be overlooking Rutgers after leaving it all out on the field last week and looking ahead to a date with Michigan State in hostile territory the following week. Can you say, trap game?
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Clemson Tigers
Saturday, November 20, 2021 - 12:00 PM EST at Memorial Stadium
Wake Forest is No. 13 in the nation, undefeated in ACC competition, and is playing a remnant of what we have come to expect from Clemson football. A changing of the guard is in order, at least for this season, but the oddsmakers are all too well aware that the public loves a well-known commodity even if their performance doesn’t live up to the hype.
This Saturday we will see the No. 2 offense of Wake Forest versus the No. 3 defense of Clemson but you can expect the Demon Deacons to be more careful with the ball after Sam Hartman tossed three picks (along with the three touchdowns) in Wake’s 45-42 win over No. 16 NC State last week.
The problem here is that the Tigers win with their defense and not their offense. They no longer have Trevor Lawrence pulling the trigger and it’s too tall a task to ask this defense to stop the Demon Deacons, a team licking their chops at the prospect of dethroning the kings of the ACC. Watch Wake win this one outright.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Saturday, November 20, 2021 - 2:00 PM EST at Kinnick Stadium
The Hawkeyes should be able to clean up the Illini in this one as they are installed as 12 ½ point home favorites and won’t need to break much of a sweat. They are vying for the Big 10 West title and should be able to string together a win here and a victory next week over the Cornhuskers.
But that said, here you have two offenses that don’t score much as evidenced by Illinois scoring an average of 17.4 PPG versus Iowa’s 24.7 PPG. Defensively, Iowa is a rock, allowing 16.3 points per game, and are the top-ranked team in the nation with 19 turnovers. This looks like a prom dance, nothing but a slow grind. And the trends bear it this out as well:
- Under is 8-0 in the Fighting Illini’s last 8 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in the Fighting Illini’s last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in the Fighting Illini’s last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0-1 in the Fighting Illini’s last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in the Hawkeyes’ last 7 games following an ATS win.
- Under is 9-3-1 in the Hawkeyes’ last 13 games as a home favorite.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.