Auburn vs. Georgia NCAAF Week 6 Pick and Prediction: Marquee Matchup

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Malaki Starks #24 of the Georgia Bulldogs breaks up a pass intended for Mookie Cooper #5 of the Missouri Tigers. Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images/AFP.

A couple of SEC teams coming off entirely opposite results collide in Week 6.

It comes as no surprise to see the Georgia Bulldogs heavily favored on NCAA football odds boards for their matchup against the Auburn Tigers.

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Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Saturday, October 08, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Sanford Stadium

For a while last Saturday, it appeared the Georgia Bulldogs were heading for a stunning upset loss on the road all while the Auburn Tigers were going to move to 2-0 in the Southeastern Conference standings to keep pace with rival Alabama.

As is often the case in life, appearances can be deceiving after the Bulldogs cinched up their belts for a dramatic comeback win to keep repeat national title hopes alive while the Tigers ended up snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

UGA Burdened With Heavy Chalk

Those conflicting results this past weekend will have Auburn and Georgia lining up between the hedges in Week 6 with entirely different frames of mind, and the folks at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) believe the Bulldogs will have the right attitude to cover a huge 29½-point spread.

Despite the huge spread and it being a matchup between a couple of teams with vastly different outlooks on the season, CBS still finds the contest attractive enough to make it their midafternoon marquee game that will carry a 48½-point total.

Tigers Among Nation’s Worst in Takeaway/Giveaway Game

For the first 20 minutes and 22 seconds last Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium, the Tigers treated their home fans to some splendid football action while racing to a 17-zip lead against LSU and amassing 233 yards of offense.

Over the next 39 minutes and 38 seconds, Auburn didn’t score a single point, turned it over four times and barely accumulated another 200 yards of offense as they watched and LSU team that was favored by 8 at the top-rated sportsbooks score the game’s final 21 points.

The four turnovers matched what the Tigers did in a mistake-filled loss at home to Penn State a few weeks ago, and it leaves Bryan Harsin’s crew down near the bottom of the list with 12 giveaways on the season compared to just three takeaways.

Dawgs Puny on Offense at Mizzou

Almost every coach following a victory will give credit to their opponents, as Georgia’s Kirby Smart did following Saturday’s 26-22 win at Missouri; but in this case, it wasn’t just coach-speak after the Tigers nearly delivered the biggest upset of the 2022 season.

Georgia went into Columbia with the top ranking and favored by 31-31½ on the odds, and the Bulldogs needed a couple of touchdowns in the final 10 minutes just to escape against a Missouri team that had struggled, to put it nicely, to go 2-2 in its first four games.

A pesky Missouri defense forced a couple of fumbles and frustrated the Georgia offense in the first half, though Stetson Bennett finally got things going to throw for more than 300 yards and keep the Tigers guessing with a gap run attack.

Georgia on 5-Game SU and ATS Streak in Series

Saturday marks the 104th consecutive year for Auburn and Georgia to lace ‘em up and boot the pigskin around, and the Bulldogs have been on the right side of the NCAA scoreboard in the last five meetings to increase their advantage in the rivalry to 62-52, plus 8 ties.

Georgia hasn’t only won the most recent five matchups, but covered all five of the games, doing so with ease last year at Auburn where the Bulldogs coasted to a 34-10 final that was more than enough to cover a 2-TD spread.

  • All five of Georgia’s wins in the current streak stopped short of the totals.
  • Auburn’s last win in Athens came in 2001, a 24-17 final in which Cadillac Williams rushed for 167 yards to lead the Tigers.

Clouds, but No Rain in Athens

Everyone in the southeast US of A is happy to see Hurricane Ian gone.

Several areas face long recoveries from the storm though, and the weatherman is calling for partly cloudy skies over Sanford Stadium on Saturday with the thermometer in the low-70s most of the game.

Bulldogs Hurting on Defense

Georgia has several starters on defense that came out of the escape job against Missouri banged up, starting with defensive tackle Jalen Carter (knee) who could be out several games, if not longer.

Carter is joined by fellow defensive lineman Warren Brinson, essentially Carter’s backup, who is nursing a groin injury plus linebacker Smael Mondon, Jr. (undisclosed).

Smart does not want to add to that injury list, and it’s difficult to believe he’ll run it up on a sad-sack group of Auburn Tigers. My college football pick is to take the points.

NCAAF Pick: Auburn +29½ (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Auburn +29½ (-108)
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