Alabama vs. Tennessee: NCAAF Week 7 Best Bets

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Hendon Hooker #5 of the Tennessee Volunteers throws the ball during the first half a game against the LSU Tigers. Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images/AFP.

If it’s the third Saturday of October, that can only mean we’re on the trail of a winning college football pick in the rivalry between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Tennessee Volunteers.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Saturday, October 15, 2022 – 03:30 PM EDT at Neyland Stadium

Having survived another upset attempt by a second team from the Lone Star State, Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide turn their attention to a long-running rivalry against a team they’ve had a lot of success against, the Tennessee Volunteers.

Alabama is simply out to take another step forward in the pursuit of yet another National Championship, while Tennessee is looking to beat Saban for the first time and potentially wreck those Crimson Tide college football futures betting slips.

Expect Heavy Traffic in Knoxville and at Books

Traffic along Philip Fulmer Way as well as the Tennessee River should be heavy for what is the marquee afternoon game on the Week 7 card, and CBS will coverage for the game that finds the Crimson Tide listed -7 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) where the 65½-point total is prices to the low side.

Will Young Play Against UT?

Bryce Young’s availability for this game is obviously huge after the Alabama quarterback missed last Saturday’s game against Texas A&M due to a shoulder injury, and Saban noted his junior signal caller tried to talk his way onto the field late.

Without Young at the helm, the Crimson Tide offense sputtered and stalled with freshman Jalen Milroe directing the show in a mistake-filled 24-20 win over the Aggies who were getting 24½ on the closing NCAA football odds.

Milroe did throw three touchdown passes among his 12 completions, but also turned it over three times with a pick and a couple of fumbles, and the Crimson Tide missed a couple of late field goals to leave Texas A&M with a chance to win on its final possession.

Vols Administer a Beating in Baton Rouge

Josh Heupel’s Volunteers came out of their bye week raring to go on a tough road trip down to Baton Rouge, and they put all of that early energy to use building a 20-0 lead over LSU before closing things out with a 40-13 winning NCAAF score.

Much of the second half was played in front of a pro-Tennessee crowd as LSU fans departed from the whipping early, and doing a lot of that whipping was Volunteers quarterback Hendon Hooker who directed a mistake-free balanced attack that ran up more than 500 yards of offense.

Make that turnover-free instead as the Volunteers were flagged a dozen times. Tennessee’s defense put the clamps on the Tigers’ ground game early while stopping LSU three times on as many fourth down attempts, and the Volunteers turned those stops into 13 points.

Tide on 15-Game Run in Series

The Third Saturday in October has not provided us with much excitement in recent years as Alabama has not only won the last 15 matchups, the Crimson Tide have only been challenged in two of those games as they built a 58-38-7 lead in the rivalry.

Alabama has won the last six meetings by at least three touchdowns, and upped that margin to four touchdowns last year down in Tuscaloosa where the Crimson Tide overcame an early deficit to score a 52-24 decision behind Young’s 371 yards passing.

  • This is the smallest spread in the series since Alabama was 5-point chalk in 2008.
  • The Crimson Tide have covered four of the last six meetings, and four of the last six have also gone past the totals at top-rated sportsbooks.
  • Tennessee’s last win over Alabama came in 2006, a 16-13 victory in Knoxville one season before Saban took over in Tuscaloosa.

Current Forecast is Near-Perfect

For the 100,000+ inside Neyland Stadium, and maybe that many outside, on Saturday, the weatherman has cooked up a very nice day with the thermometer in the low-70s under mostly sunny skies at kickoff, and only a hint of a southwesterly breeze.


Spread and Total Picks

It’s impossible to express just how important this matchup is for both sides, as the Crimson Tide begins a difficult 4-game stretch that is followed by Mississippi State at home next week before road trips to LSU and Ole Miss, while the Volunteers are completing a tough 3-game stretch.

Tennessee got one monkey off its back a few weeks ago with a rare win over Florida, and asking the Volunteers to repeat that by felling another nemesis in Alabama might be asking too much from these Volunteers.

Don’t look for the total to be reached whether Young plays not; Crimson Tide wins 31-26.

NCAAF Pick: Tennessee +7 (-105) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Tennessee +7 (-105)
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NCAAF Pick: Under 65½ (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Under 65½ (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.