UCLA vs. UNLV NCAA Basketball Picks and Odds Analysis

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Johnny Juzang #3 of the UCLA Bruins celebrates with Jaime Jaquez Jr. #24 of the UCLA Bruins. Michael Owens/Getty Images/AFP.

Can UCLA rebound from its loss to Gonzaga with a win on the road against UNLV? Let’s break down the NCAAB odds for this matchup!

UCLA Bruins vs. UNLV Rebels

Saturday, November 27, 2021 – 05:00 PM EST at Thomas & Mack Center

The UCLA Bruins are currently 5-1 on the year and are looking to recover from a 20-point loss to Gonzaga on Tuesday. The Bruins played four straight home games to start the year and then played two games on a neutral court. Finally, the Bruins will play their first road game of the year against UNLV.

UNLV started the season 3-0 but have since lost their last two division I games against Michigan and Wichita State. Michigan defeated UNLV, 74-61 but UNLV’s game against Wichita State was more of a letdown, after losing that game 74-73.

Rebels Underrated

The Rebels aren’t really highly regarded this year. UNLV is ranked 127 on KenPom and still hasn’t shown anything this season that would help them move up the rankings. UNLV has an effective field goal percentage of 44.8 percent and has struggled to get to the line at a high rate.

The Rebels are also shooting three-point jumpers at an above-average rate in comparison to the league but have only hit 28.3 percent from long range this season.

Even from inside, the Rebels have struggled, shooting 46.4 percent. The one area that UNLV has done well has been the foul line, but again, they just don’t get to the line enough for the foul shooting to be a real factor in this game. UNLV is led by Bryce Hamilton and Donovan Williams, who are both averaging double figures.

Bryce Hamilton #13 of the UNLV Rebels drives against Ademide Badmus #13 of Gardner-Webb. Ethan Miller/Getty Images/AFP

Meanwhile, Royce Hamm Jr. has been one of the best rebounders in the country. It’s still going to be a little bit more difficult to rebound against UCLA and their bigs like Myles Johnson. UCLA, on the other hand, has allowed opponents to shoot an effective field goal percentage of 51.6 percent and has allowed teams to knock down 38.8 percent from three-point land.

However, UNLV has struggled from the field this season and if that continues, UCLA should be okay. On offense, UCLA is one of the best in the nation.

The Bruins turn the ball over just 13.5 percent of the time and dominate on the offensive glass, grabbing 35.6 percent offensive rebounds. The Bruins also shoot 37.7 percent from downtown and over 50 percent from inside the arc.

Expert Prediction

The Bruins returned so much talent from last year between Johnny Juzang, Jaime Jaquez, Jules Bernard, and Tyger Campbell. All four of those players have averaged double figures to start the season. Each player plays at least 26 minutes per game and all four give them quality minutes and legitimate experience.

It’s truly hard to beat this Bruins team. They’ll dominate UNLV in height and they’ve also got a little bit more depth, especially when Cody Riley comes back.

Give me UCLA -11 in this one for my NCAAB pick today. Some might be down on them after that big loss to Gonzaga, but this team is only going to get better from that loss.

NCAAB Pick: UCLA -11 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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