NCAAB Prop Pick: Grant Sherfield Over 14.5 Points (-120) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Picks Summary:
- Grant Sherfield Over 14.5 Points (-120)
- Tanner Groves Over 7.5 Rebounds (+105)
- Milos Uzan Over 2.5 Assists (-175)
The Oklahoma Sooners and Oklahoma State Cowboys will play a third time this season. The rivalry will continue into the Big 12 Tournament between the 7-seeded Cowboys and 10-seeded Sooners.
Oklahoma State dominated the first two meetings. Will Oklahoma get its revenge when it matters the most? Here are three player props to consider for tonight’s Big 12 matchup.
Read on for our matchup analysis, including the latest NCAAB odds and our free expert NCAAB picks.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Wednesday, March 08, 2023 – 09:30 PM EST at T-Mobile Center
Grant Sherfield (Oklahoma Sooners)
Over 14.5 Points
- Sherfield averages 16.1 points per game this season.
- He’s averaged 14.5 points per game against the Cowboys this year.
- The senior leader scored 20 against TCU in Oklahoma’s final regular season game.
- Sherfield figures to have 15 attempts from the floor, with half of those coming from downtown.
- He has a 26.3% possession usage, which is 231st in all of college basketball.
NCAAB Prop Pick: Grant Sherfield Over 14.5 Points (-120) at BetOnline
Tanner Groves (Oklahoma Sooners)
Over 7.5 Rebounds
- Groves averages seven rebounds per game this season.
- He’s averaged eight rebounds per game against Oklahoma State this season.
- Groves has a 26.8% defensive rebounding rate, which is 21st in the nation.
- Oklahoma State shoots just 31.8% from downtown this season, which is 300th in all of college basketball.
- He’ll clean up the glass off those misses.
NCAAB Prop Pick: Tanner Groves Over 7.5 Rebounds (+105) at BetOnline
Milos Uzan (Oklahoma Sooners)
Over 2.5 Assists
- Uzan has an assist rate of 20.7, which is 376th in college basketball.
- Uzan has earned just one assist per game against Oklahoma, so his line is a bit lower.
- Uzan has reached at least five assists in two of his last three games.
- The Sooners shoot above average from the floor. That should lead to more assists for Oklahoma in this game, which includes Uzan.
For Sooner State residents looking to bet on these players, you can do it at our top Oklahoma betting sites.
NCAAB Prop Pick: Milos Uzan Over 2.5 Assists (-175) at BetOnline
Matchup Analysis
Can Oklahoma Make a Run in the Big 12 Tournament?
The Oklahoma Sooners are the worst team in the Big 12 this year. They won just five games in conference play and finished the season 15-16. However, the Sooners have a ton of potential in them. They’ve upset TCU, Iowa State, and Kansas State and even destroyed Alabama earlier this season, 93-69.
The Sooners can do some things in the Big 12 tournament. Any team can in this conference. Oklahoma has shot 35.4% from deep and 53.1% from inside the arc this year. They’ve even hit 73.4% from the foul line. However, Oklahoma has hauled in just 23.8% of offensive rebounds and has turned the ball over 20.2% of the time. The Sooners don’t even get to the foul line at an average rate.
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma State Cowboys have earned 19.2% of turnovers while holding teams to 32% from three and 45.4% from inside the arc. The Cowboys foul at an average pace and still allow 28.9% of offensive rebounds. Oklahoma won’t get the easiest looks but could ultimately succeed on the glass. At least more than the Sooners usually do.
Cowboys Can’t Afford a Loss
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are favorites in this game. They’re also on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. This team can’t lose to Oklahoma if they want any chance at making the NCAA Tournament. This is a huge game for so many reasons. The Cowboys lost five of their last six games to finish out the regular season. That hurt.
The offense has only hit 31.8% from downtown and has scored 51.8% from inside the arc this season. From the foul line, Oklahoma State has shot below 70%. Like Oklahoma, the Cowboys turn the ball over 20.6% of the time. However, the Sooners aren’t nearly as aggressive regarding earning turnovers.
The Cowboys have reached for 31.7% of offensive rebounds and usually get to the foul line more. Oklahoma’s foul rate is lower than Oklahoma State’s, though. Plus, the Sooners have held teams to 31.4% from long range and 48.8% from inside the arc.
The Cowboys love taking threes but won’t get easy looks against the Sooners. Oklahoma just needs to dominate the defensive glass. This year, they’ve allowed 27% of offensive rebounds, which isn’t terrible on the defensive end. Oklahoma State dominated Oklahoma in their first two meetings in the regular season. But sometimes it’s hard to beat the same team three times.
With the Cowboys struggling, the Sooners could pull off a small little upset to begin their Big 12 Tournament journey.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
