NCAAB Pick: Brice Sensabaugh Over 5.5 Rebounds (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The Penn State Nittany Lions want to stick around in the middle of the Big Ten. They’ll need to defeat the Ohio State Buckeyes on the road tonight. Here are three NCAAB picks for tonight’s Big Ten matchup between Penn State and Ohio State. Let’s see what else can be deduced from these college basketball odds.
Buckeyes, remember that there’s a complete list of the available Ohio betting sites where you can find the best book to bet with.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Thursday, February 23, 2023 – 06:30 PM EST at Value City Arena
Brice Sensabaugh (Ohio State) Over/Under Rebounds
NCAAB Pick: Brice Sensabaugh Over 5.5 Rebounds (-115) at BetOnline
- Brice Sensabaugh averages 5.1 rebounds per game this season.
- Penn State averages just 17.5% of offensive rebounds per game. That ranks 363rd in college basketball.
- Sensabaugh is 372nd in defensive rebound percentage, earning 18.3% of defensive rebounding opportunities.
- Has three games with at least ten rebounds this season. All three of those games were one-possession games.
Jalen Pickett (Penn State) Over/Under Assists
NCAAB Pick: Jalen Pickett Over 6.5 Assists (+110) at BetOnline
- Pickett averages seven assists per game, ranking 4th in that category.
- Has earned at least seven assists in six of his last seven games.
- Ranks second in all of college basketball with a 42.2% assist rate.
- The Nittany Lions will still drain many threes in tonight’s game.
Seth Lundy (Penn State) Over/Under Threes
NCAAB Pick: Seth Lundy Over 2.5 Threes (-130) at BetOnline
- Lundy is shooting 44.1% from downtown this season.
- Penn State has added 44.4% of points from the three-point range this year, which is second in the nation.
- The Nittany Lions are fifth in college basketball in 3PA/FGA.
- Lundy has attempted at least six threes in his last six games.
Matchup Analysis
The Penn State Nittany Lions are currently 7-9 in the Big Ten while holding a 16-11 record overall. The Nittany Lions have won two straight games over Illinois and Minnesota and will now look to add another win over Ohio State.
On the other hand, Ohio State’s season hasn’t gone as planned. The Buckeyes are just 11-16 on the season. They’ve gone 3-13 in conference play and haven’t won a game since January 21. But this is a winnable game for the Buckeyes at home.
Ohio State has shot 35.8% from downtown and 50.2% from inside the arc. They won’t get to the foul line often but still shoot 72.4% from the charity stripe. The Buckeyes limit blocks and steals when they’ve got possession and have earned 32.3% offensive rebounds. They’re active on the offensive end but will struggle to consistently get second chances with Penn State’s defensive rebounding ability.
The Nittany Lions have held teams to 24.1% offensive rebounds. They won’t earn a high rate of turnovers but have held opponents to 34.2% from three and 49.5% from two. Ohio State has nailed a high rate of threes this season but typically doesn’t take a high amount of them.
Buckeyes Can Turn Things Around
Penn State is the best in the nation at limiting turnovers. The Nittany Lions have only turned the ball over 13.2% of the time. That’s the best rate in all of college basketball. They have drilled 38.9% from deep and 54.2% from inside the arc. They can shoot it well. However, the Nittany Lions have only earned 17.5% offensive rebounds and have one of the worst rates in college basketball at getting to the foul line.
If Penn State has a poor shooting night, they would easily lose. The Nittany Lions crash the glass and rarely get to the foul line. Still, they have nailed 75.4% from the foul line, which is good.
Meanwhile, Ohio State has limited opponents to 31.6% from deep and 49.2% from inside the arc. The Buckeyes won’t earn many turnovers, but they’ve defended the three well this year. Penn State will take a heavy amount of threes in this game, but the Buckeyes have defended the three well, limiting teams to 31.6% from downtown this season.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Ohio State turned the corner tonight and earned a win against Penn State. Analytically, Ohio State has an edge. Penn State won’t earn as many second chances or get to the foul line. If the Nittany Lions struggle from downtown, things won’t be pretty for them.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
