Today’s Best NCAAB Player Props Bets: Can Jalen Bridges Push Baylor Past Oklahoma State?

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Guard Jalen Bridges #11 of the Baylor Bears handles the ball against the Texas Tech Red Raiders. John E. Moore III/Getty Images/AFP.

NCAAB Prop Pick: Jalen Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds (-125) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Jalen Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds (-125)
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Picks Summary

  • Kalib Boone Over 14.5 Points (-105)
  • Kalib Boone Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140)
  • Jalen Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds (-125)

The Oklahoma State Cowboys desperately need a win at home against Baylor. The Cowboys are considered one of the last bubble teams heading into the NCAA Tournament selection show. They’ve got plenty of opportunity, but there’s no better one than getting a win against Baylor at home. Here are a few player props for tonight’s insane Big 12 matchup.

Read on for our NCAAB breakdown, including the latest NCAAB odds and our free expert NCAAB picks and teams analysis.

Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Monday, February 27, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Gallagher-Iba Arena

Kalib Boone (Oklahoma State Cowboys)

Over 14.5 Points

  • Boone is shooting 62.9% from inside the arc this season.
  • Baylor has struggled to defend inside the arc, allowing teams to shoot over 53% this season from inside the arc.
  • Boone added 18 points against Kansas State on 7-for-11 from the field.
  • He also had 27 points against Kansas at home and 25 against TCU at home. He’ll be home tonight too.

Over 5.5 Rebounds

  • Boone has an 11.9% offensive rebounding percentage this season.
  • He’s averaging over five rebounds per game.
  • Baylor has allowed 29% of offensive rebounds this season, which is below average.
  • While Baylor will earn many second chances themselves, Baylor’s perimeter defense will force many missed shots.

For Cowboys fans looking to bet on this player, you can check out our top Oklahoma betting sites.

NCAAB Prop Pick: Kalib Boone Over 14.5 Points (-105) at BetOnline

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Kalib Boone Over 14.5 Points (-105)
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NCAAB Prop Pick: Kalib Boone Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140) at BetOnline

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Kalib Boone Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140)
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Jalen Bridges (Baylor Bears)

Over 6.5 Rebounds

  • Bridges has earned 5.8 rebounds per game this season.
  • He’s earned at least seven rebounds in his last two games.
  • Bridges ranks 165th in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage this season.
  • Oklahoma State allows 28.6% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
  • Bridges added eight rebounds in 25 minutes against Oklahoma State earlier this season.

NCAAB Prop Pick: Jalen Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds (-125) at BetOnline

Matchup Analysis

Will Baylor Prevail on the Road?

The Baylor Bears are coming off a massive win against the Texas Longhorns, earning an 81-72 win at home. But before that game, the Bears lost two straight on the road to Kansas and Kansas State. Baylor is currently two games out of first place in the Big 12, but I still will suggest that Baylor is the best team in the Big 12. We’ll let the Big 12 Tournament help us find out.

Baylor is one of the best offenses in the nation. The Bears have nailed nearly 37% from downtown and 51.5% from inside the arc. The Bears have also hit 74.8% from the foul line and will get there at a high rate, especially against Oklahoma State. Baylor has earned 35.4% of offensive rebounds and will grab their fair share of second chances against the Cowboys.

The Cowboys have held teams to 31.1% from downtown and 45.8% from inside the arc. Oklahoma State does a great job of earning blocks and keeping teams out of the paint. It’s just that Oklahoma State will foul at an average pace and allow nearly 29% of offensive rebounds per game.

Oklahoma State Needs to Win

On the other hand, the Oklahoma State Cowboys need to win to have a chance at making the NCAA Tournament. They’re currently one of the last few teams in. They’re basically on the bubble. A win against Baylor would only help their situation.

The Cowboys have turned the ball over 20.8% of the time and have shot under 32% from three. Inside the arc is where the Cowboys will need to be efficient. They’ve shot 51.9% inside the arc, while Baylor has allowed teams to shoot 53.1% inside. Baylor’s going to take a ton of threes. Oklahoma State still takes many, but if the Cowboys can get stops and then try and score inside, they’ll have much more success offensively.

The Cowboys move the ball a little faster on the offensive end and should also add their fair share of offensive rebounds, second chances, and free throw attempts. Oklahoma State will likely lose the turnover battle, but the Cowboys have a good enough defense to take Baylor out of their game.

This will be an intriguing matchup for the Cowboys, who need to win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive.

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.