Texas Longhorns vs. Stanford Cardinal
Sunday, December 19, 2021 – 3:00 PM EST at T-Mobile Arena
The Texas Longhorns have two losses on the season against Gonzaga and Seton Hall but that didn’t stop them from destroying Arkansas Pine Bluff in their most recent game of the season.
Meanwhile, Stanford is on a two-game winning streak and will look to make it three in a row against an extremely difficult opponent, on a neutral court in Las Vegas, Nevada. Texas looks fantastic offensively and matches up well against Stanford.
The Longhorns are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 54.6 percent while shooting 36 percent from long range and 54.9 percent from inside the arc. Texas has also limited turnovers to 16.6 percent and still grabs 33.8 percent offensive rebounds on the season. It might be hard to get a ton of offensive rebounds against one of the tallest teams in the country, but the points will come regardless.
Stanford has held opponents to a 53.3 percent effective field goal percentage along with a turnover percentage of 17.6 percent. Teams are shooting 35.3 percent from downtown and 53.5 percent inside the arc against Stanford, despite Stanford’s height and length.
On the other hand, Texas dominates on the defense when it comes to turnovers. Texas is earning 27.9 percent turnovers on the season while holding opponents to a 46.7 percent effective field goal percentage. The Longhorns are allowing teams to shoot just 31.8 percent from long range and 46.1 percent from inside the arc.
While Stanford is shooting 34.4 percent from long range and 51.4 percent from inside, the Cardinal has struggled with converting foul shots, shooting just 64.8 percent from the line. Stanford has also struggled with turnovers, giving up 21.3 percent turnovers on the season. That’s not good news going up against Texas, knowing how great Texas is at forcing turnovers.
Still, I’d expect Stanford to be able to dominate the glass like they’ve done all season, and earn more second-chance looks, which should help Stanford score and stay in the game.
I honestly think this line is pretty spot on. Stanford isn’t all that defensively, but they’ve been sticking around recently. Stanford defeated Oregon and Dartmouth, at home, in close games and will now look for a third win in what could be another close game. However, Texas just looks fantastic on the offensive end and should have no problems getting open looks against Stanford.
The Longhorns have the better foul shooting and both teams get to the line at almost the same pace. The difference could be the turnovers. Texas should dominate in the turnover battle against Stanford and that would lead to more easy transition buckets. I’ll side with Texas -10 for my college basketball pick.
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