NCAA Basketball Picks for December 3: Best Bets Today

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Jayce Johnson #5 of the Siena Saints looks to pass against Quadry Adams #2 of St. Bonaventure. Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images/AFP

The Manhattan Jaspers will head on to the road to take on the Siena Saints. Will Manhattan’s defense do the talking?

Let’s try to find an answer with the NCAAB odds for this matchup!

Manhattan Jaspers vs. Siena Saints

Friday, December 3, 2021 – 7:00 PM EST at Times Union Center

Tonight in college basketball, there isn't a whole lot to choose from. Luckily there's one game we can get behind.

The Manhattan Jaspers are 5-2 on the season with a quality win against Liberty already this year, 76-60 on a neutral court. Sure, they lost their first road game of the season to Old Dominion but then won two neutral games after that loss.

They're going up against Siena, on the road tonight. Siena has gone 2-5 on the year and while they've played better recently, Siena has a loss to Bucknell, in overtime. Bucknell just lost by 30 to St. Francis PA. It's been a lot of inconsistencies with this Siena ball club and right now, Manhattan matches up really well.

The Jaspers defense allows an effective field goal percentage of 47 percent while earning 23.2 percent turnovers on the defensive end. They've held opponents to 32.5 percent from long range and 46.2 percent from inside the arc. Manhattan has struggled to earn defensive rebounds, but Siena is only grabbing 26.6 percent of offensive rebounds. Shouldn't be too bad.

Meanwhile, Siena is allowing a 53.1 percent effective field goal percentage and rarely force turnovers. That's big news as Manhattan has turned the ball over 23.8 percent of the time. Something's got to give there and I believe Manhattan can limit turnovers in this game and ultimately win the turnover battle tonight.

Meanwhile, the Jaspers are 62nd in the nation in offensive rebounding and 29th in Free Throw Attempted to Field Goal Attempted ratio. This essentially means Manhattan is getting to the line at a very high rate - and the Jaspers are also shooting 73.3 percent from the line, which is above the average in college basketball.

You won't see Manhattan shoot a bunch of threes. The Jaspers are only hitting 28.2 percent of them anyway. However, Siena hasn't defended the perimeter well enough, giving up 41.3 percent from downtown on the year. Any team can hit open three-point shots. If Manhattan gets quality looks, the Jaspers will shoot them.

Manhattan is more equipped inside and has shot 51.3 percent from inside the paint.

The Jaspers essentially have an edge in shooting, rebounding and free throws and I ultimately believe they'll win the turnover battle. If they can win all four of these areas, Manhattan will win this ball game on the road against Siena.

Also, Siena's losses aren't just small losses. Siena lost to St. Bonaventure 75-47. Lost to Delaware 83-63. Lost to Yale, 82-54. Lost to Georgetown 83-65. Found a way to lose 65-56 to Bucknell in overtime. The Saints have moments in every game where they allow key possessions and plays getaway and allow massive runs from the opposition.

Manhattan is capable of doing this too because they're literally the most experienced team in college basketball.

Expert Prediction

I have no way of telling line movement. When I give out plays in the morning, I'm expecting the line to move in our favor as I feel the line the game is at currently gives us an edge.

If the line moves down to +4, you don't have to ask me if I still like it. Of course, I do… it's an extra point for our NCAAB pick!

I also believe Manhattan wins this game outright, so a +2 or +1 still makes sense if it gets to that point too.

NCAAB Pick: Manhattan +3 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Manhattan +3 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.